{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:06.301Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Madagascar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Madagascar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MDG", "country_name": "Madagascar" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6552450.2602119325, "attention_trade_usd": 1038839.4029169845, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1038839.4029169845, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2989023.6277205185, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3563426.632491414, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9029670762197197, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 53.91863517488374, "product_concentration_hhi": 4094.6959734267757, "top1_product_share_pct": 54.383116101306484, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "701090", "top_product_trade_usd": 3563426.632491414, "top_product_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "top_attention_product_hs6": "390210", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4844.02197265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14637.400396, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 515, "buyer_population_latest": 28427.334, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.3132742329127005, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.745400205779224, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5238232116046477, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.479999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.228, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 15.8542127244379, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14637.400396, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 515, "buyer_population_2024": 28427.334 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 6786336.113161107, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 16933943.42002009, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.52998403924, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 26052896.67055427, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.850145972221284, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 33510897.96144513, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.626380341500024, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.28781249955105 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 387474.1096580258, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.8437370132432, "cagr_3y_pct": -71.61025261031044 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 20165470.779835228, "yoy_growth_pct": 5104.340180982086, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.184194322782211 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 6572897.486245595, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.40518702485109, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.89810937295848 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 4520674.934263545, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.2224944368373, "cagr_3y_pct": 126.80547298035543 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 14226736.683480386, "yoy_growth_pct": 214.70381945960546, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.97766610129991 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 77148741.17087543, "yoy_growth_pct": 442.2799541967906, "cagr_3y_pct": 127.26051948332126 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 14104820.3721762, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.71736808908435, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.12395781478913 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 12697167.027659817, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.979945205776486, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7204955249293126 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 15197260.367216501, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.690166586849035, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.81485066100551 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 61172684.497231126, "yoy_growth_pct": 302.5244222912224, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.07848189112095 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 20033205.73060338, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.25138696257453, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.416500307240977 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 54086753.00398, "yoy_growth_pct": 169.9855117114647, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.67755695122105 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 33141239.8218862, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.725772982808785, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.478830015869196 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 9880734.169006214, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.18598512877283, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.990450038859 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 11208744.172738323, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.440398061692594, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.82267239261937 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 14637906.48925608, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.593635323197898, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.844126173245517 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 19383265.454775013, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.418289931022095, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.183159760786978 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 190829599.4333028, "yoy_growth_pct": 884.5069700899776, "cagr_3y_pct": 157.25446853162325 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 108444694.0075104, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.17197419606118, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.94395814548287 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 98265962.17430224, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.38610406563849, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.78769631691875 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 50521676.15976401, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.586799496096475, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.78881708379458 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 39704730.65464928, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.410504019915034, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.46070617358857 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 15886445.622457558, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.988531944373456, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.523665670705185 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 39749013.681843184, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.20709242634348, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.682747944913048 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 22546330.276191015, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.27826482273225, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.19093708164605 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "export_value_usd": 9955857.961083181, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.84266779061339, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.424262529508802 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13598362.32101454, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.509234080493385, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.801077469335785, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11545856.983254133, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.54478681217188, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9870031993794334, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11539405.656688804, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.38748691603578, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0947101083816313, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "MDG", "distance_km": 4825, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14637.400396000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 514.9058436503402, "importer_population": 28427.334, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 30.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.449328033131312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-MDG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-MDG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-MDG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-MDG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-MDG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }