{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.908Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Japan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Japan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "all_history_lane_count": 198, "current_lane_count": 57, "current_product_count": 57, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 28080432637.808693, "attention_trade_usd": 28071376189.845116, "critical_trade_usd": 392928827.9829052, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 205436361.44342232, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 443687017.68883264, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 23142.008836695364, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 27454089656.855057, "access_friction_trade_usd": 28080432637.808693, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 28080432637.808693, "critical_lane_count": 4, "high_attention_lane_count": 22, "high_volatility_lane_count": 19, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 28, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 28, "access_friction_lane_count": 57, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5577210781740368, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.71067959004185, "product_concentration_hhi": 9343.508463126514, "top1_product_share_pct": 96.65147487868582, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.36009869912628, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 27140152296.75796, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 8701.921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.930921606030747, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6464883709593938, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.41373606727091, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 39285, "buyer_population_latest": 125681.595, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -4.67885267787802, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -4.27363742210356, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.4233058113377264, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.977999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.869999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.96774818935167, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.3992976285338603, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4937421.880462, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 39285, "buyer_population_2024": 125681.595 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 9258442948.647182, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 10191093068.59698, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.073509391620462, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 11310659161.442043, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.985731219499062, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 6806652697.13356, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.820901682393625, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.74625901077414 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 7571697193.91233, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.239658181780698, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.428653731029224 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 13895184915.141697, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.51479938095613, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.100657846612823 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 11858358147.6416, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.658507820795897, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.327157387630045 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 12038399779.864714, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5182677903763597, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.714596977691865 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 15026696675.31816, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.82304085341671, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6438806669611736 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 18738110766.97264, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.69880221746008, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.475275496851616 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 29338304414.275494, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.570236877810046, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.57221981441876 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 35985584818.2309, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.657343485470705, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.78939248461845 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 34993564446.99577, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7567159912670225, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.146137133982457 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 48199308372.42554, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.73763585996592, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.996356856614582 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 28510865000.74463, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.847979019849426, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.467575208682886 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 35240935160.69018, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.60528226614582, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.23508141693373563 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 49089214416.1407, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.29600390087751, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6116856417735628 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 52911596841.37001, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.786603372435508, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.88913621518647 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 47650913606.021706, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.94240119253995, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.579495048264565 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 43959996259.94299, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.7457430860513155, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6118033750621725 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 2392364506.365817, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.55786007755925, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.37467562709791 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 19096198521.304543, "yoy_growth_pct": 698.214422195768, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.273226262672843 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 27602505039.15999, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.5445019246393, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.369144344056606 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 32500095406.4037, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.743282214043422, "cagr_3y_pct": 138.60841825893164 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 26535648853.848213, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.352089364575452, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.590595935409675 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 17017358120.310009, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.86982472508057, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.889877905974846 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 26814083067.289364, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.56901205062543, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.2093732127575745 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 40359719503.54977, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.51687354838097, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.002198427621494 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 31322765051.45801, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.391023929928267, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.552634450325204 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "export_value_usd": 28092803102.61018, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.311867242695683, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5649926959991012 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63217023264.93831, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.34762399199844, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5550934684934519, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14025067126.790947, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.95728999704379, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3996603995787048, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "290511", "hs_description": "Alcohols: saturated monohydric, methanol (methyl alcohol)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 403872018.32991296, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.86505741416078, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39761379199097563, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1771069345.7516634, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.770121975109276, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.004731025354079, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2485747255.0131516, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.93770479663625, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9516673069496672, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "810820", "hs_description": "Titanium: unwrought, powders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56874791.52966596, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4745919186519053, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "390140", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 425602547.02656555, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.44891738044522, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4615724412963296, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2428015655.202965, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.51487534007025, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.106150132106763, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "271112", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6960997011.896561, "current_below_peak_pct": 99.61524665683639, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.736747801047446, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": "390720", "hs_description": "Polyethers: in primary forms, excluding polyacetals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 356082319.1129594, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.7091203373129689, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5756505769930298, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "distance_km": 8706, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "importer_population": 125681.595, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.930921606030747, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.060224438230304, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6464883709593938, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.41373606727091 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-JPN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-JPN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-JPN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-JPN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-JPN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }