{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.911Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SAU",
    "country_name": "Saudi Arabia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 660,
    "current_lane_count": 256,
    "current_product_count": 256,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 28316916754.757175,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2208714617.210275,
    "critical_trade_usd": 317074624.5449414,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4454485613.769017,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1305486253.318709,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3610607916.664677,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 7,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 53,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 178,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 118,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 113,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7739164178515052,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.030503690441456,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4375.711504567231,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 65.61102944830324,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 74.1507956451065,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 18579020590.815247,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3053.153076171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373735,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373735,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 7.7999827323686866,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.11973569471215,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1315181521.6759896,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1692293377.4624233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.67374956012647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1609027483.9689033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.9202989624870135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1862524937.4798653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.7547000307088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.298028694247321
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 3078304150.8350463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.2758622926263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.07084691652299
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1546920131.47362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.747651444579,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3035626228981356
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 567009580.1101953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.34590464149864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.72875992981058
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 502182152.4778894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.433215576305955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.3592587916934
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 671011471.7307106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.61913967268173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.30148651399979
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1045484414.4396012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.807234076494815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.624068710117527
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1309675425.312645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.26972255388953,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.64722749719902
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 10381163482.89326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 692.6516205658415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 149.17551342214992
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 16206498205.299366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.114468595022736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 149.33918800991685
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 21447059827.12348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.33617500485393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 153.94209310440812
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 13972383874.045788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.85175130450602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.409936342583848
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 19607274496.381153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.32877047418071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.555535128208501
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 27301292746.554375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.24063108104738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.377338833715275
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 31151047371.387806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.100997562905881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.637355831114355
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 34615395942.81858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.121130311055838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.860399344300575
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 30329023983.93448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.382848273539294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5678770794958403
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 21157442923.20138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.24027764820706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.098387588876081
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 17616530487.382072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.736013178304844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.160643963050482
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 20068124510.283188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.916440723995471,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.86028855998298
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 27224476420.423454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.66029255236707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.767409740712617
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 26049959347.12971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.314195267361088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.92758463298238
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 16574817726.704832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.37296125557635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.1759898169400635
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 27110490687.934643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.56433678456121,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1397580416047539
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 44265259555.1878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.27723487088257,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.330645095919373
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 29975167111.092957,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.28286152096012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.834686632289866
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 28351865288.525337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.415488816297143,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5035939182481473
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130055084036.38712,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.67526960331367,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6470595387501796,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10439476413.142857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0362797059634306,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2720463788.0554085,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.17946450982002,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8650124071122374,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "271113",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5354592947.981651,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.80566742369068,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7259507950046631,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "271112",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, propane",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5736266073.770363,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.65835363282444,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8379866683571535,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53809527310.56449,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7320588305399531,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "760200",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3388461868.8749886,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.5161800216602,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0751415451854671,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "740400",
      "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1843923668.8744233,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2086268376368305,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "290250",
      "hs_description": "Cyclic hydrocarbons: styrene",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1246875705.685883,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5841101680531774,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "390210",
      "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1053921329.3748593,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.987972967548895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.012986668639132,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 3060,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373735,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.23102001373735,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}