{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.585Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "SAU",
    "country_name": "Saudi Arabia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "all_history_lane_count": 34,
    "current_lane_count": 13,
    "current_product_count": 13,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 83451189.12622587,
    "attention_trade_usd": 49618055.25897945,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 36065552.570442826,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3451953.291060462,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 49618055.25897945,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 9,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.940456768676997,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.245065549115555,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3735.870780480827,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.94997102796432,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 85.84071745965605,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 45856404.24735282,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3618.650634765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3899,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 59.45757727182126,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3899
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3948461.8060723343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2601635.90314646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.11014134300583,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3417683.523757479,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.366711215204155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 791143.1434091586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.85148031086982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.48385477749379
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3985588.6099807927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 403.77591503937873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.278588594608888
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 570675.6930391788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.6815203754326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.933706729421644
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 443021.65265420877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.36892896298742,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.575441776199973
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 805663.9289400697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.85655805155731,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.31139090749161
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1423913.807447187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.73793703541945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.632815009620366
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3522817.086617614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 147.4038153287783,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 99.59747689711875
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 4092907.228825233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.18279144759638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.9066433344381
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 6518455.403657765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.26223193504254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.04290862140894
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 3869299.490950316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.640853525221665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1764903180415027
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 14268969.346344095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 268.77397006142775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.630616719008884
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 13620895.009651417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.541844060087796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.845952231569427
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 16058516.016146716,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.8961882076623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.70313694467839
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 41475498.09466337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 158.27727825510195,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.71391993936735
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 26136432.28881606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.983439646312476,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.26444555295868
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 23423875.098372214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.37845242406924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.409937596998333
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 40755032.50270072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.98928371818758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.582414567478351
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 91838934.34814197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 125.3437887506434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.02914172211279
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 74873169.33052398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.473390548396786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.30669682572186
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 82364941.262518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.005950060591061,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.431041753548847
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 47189218.24778446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.707154859273885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.90501660912516
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 97947328.22320578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.56293886645265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.367627809936717
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 10373102.788052948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.40950919619333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.87487952584085
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 8505959.669882717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.99985169645367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.511482280868506
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 12942193.8004805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.154422343492634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -49.066314584371526
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 10569099.402888233,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.336106182432243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6258975211303808
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 85704734.57187021,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 710.8991249382095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 115.98677756307798
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1522747970.539922,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.81660531721499,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5251774467443543,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2011669910.8569348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5743931646344542,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76242791.65216172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5640151129421378,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48631502.54334528,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0731297895680616,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "390140",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62365468.665034264,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.51110583531418,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3495992882580248,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "390210",
      "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21407717.740082458,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6959223473022755,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "760511",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30785478.71517502,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "170199",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78413449.59161946,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 68.60071082047206,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8883947241285822,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "392010",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54637758.197576895,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.08693799027162,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5416519551423389,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "392020",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38872736.2833714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.096358320431996,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3219680863303043,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SAU",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "distance_km": 3609,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "importer_population": 3899,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076627,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-HRV/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-HRV/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-HRV/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-HRV/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-HRV/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}