{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.015Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "all_history_lane_count": 233, "current_lane_count": 97, "current_product_count": 97, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4919425463.27732, "attention_trade_usd": 317763053.7999309, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3832947123.6995416, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 881005439.7863995, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 301752588.89800847, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 18, "high_volatility_lane_count": 61, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 27, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 32, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2143433932445555, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.42177955705484, "product_concentration_hhi": 5563.649759803163, "top1_product_share_pct": 72.55757087613365, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.37525310748768, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 3569415617.216008, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "840910", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 4694.49951171875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.017799999564886093, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9237229192939398, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6379010069128805, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.282512119955807, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519, "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 6.459352950298331, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519, "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2480065764.253043, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2775605702.3850684, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.916616986204698, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2521838734.732894, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.142759990517145, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 1733912893.2770195, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.244101004711123, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.245981375070514 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2001802192.2904377, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.449985985577342, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.321611292275934 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3169002881.7317934, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.307493814154476, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.9116768194266385 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2120606870.0323038, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.082835542470804, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.941013583275701 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2210967447.723151, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.261071628494295, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3682259156481376 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2441312575.2357297, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.418295744235738, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.328658939933419 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3952248867.7293468, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.890325221780465, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.063153549920234 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4642855273.355607, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.473758073919797, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.056295039557753 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 5080206710.774335, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.419880906660993, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.66915929539493 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4088410227.661176, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.52275841472575, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1354460245893927 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 5602753542.212915, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.03990622824651, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.464656590303153 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3261844435.410499, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.781404253556175, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.729836663157968 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 3554594130.17965, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.974974146255033, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.556757672899447 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 6245113778.417127, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.6913321100178, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.684286974101525 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 7045840037.001276, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.821644040360457, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.26764734834526 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 7864175827.494878, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.61445315528178, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.302995140065203 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 9158158852.118837, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.454146664675417, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.611581594425726 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 6055068121.98953, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.883346863014665, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.925930240790133 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4746089480.699742, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.617901151865038, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.492698166201347 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4306788707.349896, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.256057542452345, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.235425902875804 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 8681213726.57218, "yoy_growth_pct": 101.57045809461142, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.759672278455314 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 8443096677.518241, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7429004348215824, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.16818802577811 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 2960784328.2507014, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.9324834081967, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.742612206338876 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4458634661.076397, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.58964675453615, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.916973101447553 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 8078144812.413266, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.1797876810802, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4621026855380137 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 6864131434.874028, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.028368588710206, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.350709106207695 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 4952675012.267806, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.84702537738195, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5649137308384926 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24858052988.411655, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3748370117849236, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26499813984.17787, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.38736840633625, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5238031915932976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "840910", "hs_description": "Engines: parts of aircraft engines (spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary internal combustion piston engines)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 170250303.7477894, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2794764427436527, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "999999", "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106513629.37059632, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "840710", "hs_description": "Engines: for aircraft, spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary internal combustion piston engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128584902.32728657, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9288901815194273, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "290211", "hs_description": "Cyclic hydrocarbons: cyclohexane", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 148060596.45698857, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.28321764923333, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7776406444125584, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 372004965.2672591, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.398904924531266, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7396454951827722, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "390140", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 335832743.54760784, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4353882639399356, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5527413006.249738, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9286303605547862, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 573254015.5169412, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.31250689229766, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6305410843580849, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "distance_km": 4686, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "importer_population": 67499.344, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9237229192939398, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.6379010069128805, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.282512119955807 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-FRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-FRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-FRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-FRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-FRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }