{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:56.610Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ETH", "country_name": "Ethiopia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "all_history_lane_count": 53, "current_lane_count": 34, "current_product_count": 34, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 963666361.1584883, "attention_trade_usd": 34916232.44808736, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 44689025.62513006, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 11608592.44342629, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 945967175.5507722, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 22, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 19, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 28, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9711006843016955, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.9406248457518793, "product_concentration_hhi": 8599.866557216206, "top1_product_share_pct": 92.68869922360514, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.30491618290881, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 893209815.0132517, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "390210", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1929.513427734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944, "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 3.62326982194462, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944, "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 145358397.59172615, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 209047897.86093983, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.81549420220006, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 124747732.70682162, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.32576553828601, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 426976698.90573007, "yoy_growth_pct": 242.2721115975694, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.21483803152788 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 58881856.279958345, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.2095855743738, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.4491145079849 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 10434900.552524075, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.27824119044323, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.266065402582136 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 188473047.5257993, "yoy_growth_pct": 1706.1796236305288, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.859622461771124 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 150096547.09245655, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.361797581741527, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.60389089986935 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 27227187.53567733, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.86021726475433, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.669633444296835 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 726717208.8511215, "yoy_growth_pct": 2569.0865808261055, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.80938944732623 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1085606253.9780319, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.384965810054716, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.38993984719859 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1413575258.4536657, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.210677515337036, "cagr_3y_pct": 273.05430050909297 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 960534929.3297504, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.049254287281734, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.744451592280301 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1706353066.467244, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.6461234635076, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.269423803498782 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1357183088.2620285, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.46293847779822, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.347862090221974 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1545690235.4168856, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.889588573952416, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.184390901662262 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1340452617.5176911, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.278056184642983, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.729928613521054 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 2213037594.515522, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.09629401251959, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.701893848574546 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1496360383.3161373, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.38432157571547, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0753370128426365 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 2162104545.8214946, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.490897375268524, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.27580092221823 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 517802719.8205615, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.05098602557068, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.37950559055925 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 436871002.243583, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.629836321644742, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.66047782118537 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 224584595.3059558, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.59246913789536, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.99243470285473 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 161594172.00360656, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.04752624129727, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.17021266384783 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 493810699.60957325, "yoy_growth_pct": 205.5869487660434, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.168343724333612 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 315828671.4364638, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.04256212225236, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.035897231283975 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 351733318.7459378, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.368393865626958, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.597295551372717 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 564060956.1798636, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.36608592866721, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.533425251397882 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 1814162877.9917078, "yoy_growth_pct": 221.62532402140255, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.09147261103726 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "export_value_usd": 987701302.8718357, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.55608458016578, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.08170696586435 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2049259494.836848, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9665995347432881, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33464663.147630133, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.86086256619566, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0644985533970601, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28804894.612974234, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.086650748197115, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5812921510150945, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "381700", "hs_description": "Mixed alkylbenzenes and mixed alkylnaphthalenes, other than those of heading no. 2707 or 2902", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13655425.557532484, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1130174783727418, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18932125.36045172, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.789366522635388, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390130", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-vinyl acetate copolymers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13139344.58929285, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.8215443673108, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7490530314496108, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 250882844.2477154, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2837242301038838, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390190", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, n.e.c. in heading no. 3901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11350158.36365312, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.50204432937285, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1696437589836324, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390720", "hs_description": "Polyethers: in primary forms, excluding polyacetals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17642884.74700638, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.195596105438746, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9766547673829855, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "hs_code": "390910", "hs_description": "Amino-resins: urea and thiourea resins, in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16051502.223004756, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.826605894618563, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1448620347712288, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "ETH", "distance_km": 1929, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999, "importer_population": 117876.228, "importer_biz_entry_days": 32, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.445658894949496, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-ETH/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-ETH/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-ETH/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-ETH/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-ETH/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }