{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.897Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Canada: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Canada, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CAN", "country_name": "Canada" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "all_history_lane_count": 148, "current_lane_count": 43, "current_product_count": 43, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1476690870.7546608, "attention_trade_usd": 1470127608.2097402, "critical_trade_usd": 1432759308.630425, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 28826537.85967998, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1436979352.9933324, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1457830812.4545681, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1476690870.7546608, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 12, "high_volatility_lane_count": 23, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 31, "access_friction_lane_count": 43, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5985437528266502, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.86072522853873, "product_concentration_hhi": 9414.727593623504, "top1_product_share_pct": 97.02499940953892, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.03779938389171, "top_product_hs6": "270900", "top_product_trade_usd": 1432759308.630425, "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 10655.830078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.251317075010099, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.15660689448485, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.3564431540606074, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1990761.6096649999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 52051, "buyer_population_latest": 38246.109, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.170733773212577, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2307679188356975, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8792515966772338, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.134000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.016, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.5555425529538, "critical_trade_share_pct": 97.02499940953892, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1990761.6096649999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 52051, "buyer_population_2024": 38246.109 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 368561843.9288636, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 446200003.47529864, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.06516472752944, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 425030340.65119785, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.74443358566059, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 244263098.62844163, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.53043247354976, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.813516144602154 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 293396634.7426766, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.11500565993145, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.042204827773451 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 580377732.6462103, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.81335704658996, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.942241479658964 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 484672222.9570827, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.490210479434143, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.65991342472205 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 483442129.8040007, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.25379897894229897, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.112661397639982 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 668677074.034224, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.31584647066695, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.833937346101136 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 975917420.6108421, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.947492221169384, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.27624138186222 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1470038755.4256768, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.63146987432157, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.87543844469162 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1516158961.7818258, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1373462900843085, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.374003438745547 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1788221424.9606783, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.94419121192401, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.36843557878747 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2004193111.3896732, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.077457713814388, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.884351331113162 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1362314457.089303, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.02678677282263, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5036522902649914 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1955832208.0799077, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.566868713902096, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0315183398738954 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2750265041.342251, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.61865992289078, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.124971130374295 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2824613670.3144536, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.703325965119241, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.514791093564494 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2563895034.614459, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.230240525989164, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.443393118733345 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2240893421.0305505, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.598082574487268, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.599568130541944 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1706845699.8698778, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.83191079721555, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.456854537183972 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1331605843.607076, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.9844041140572, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.618059980159018 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2153066619.528875, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.68948415670905, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3238744785621592 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 3035615843.265617, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.990335168071, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.157652346893197 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2503797797.953211, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.519280197862376, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.42634076364758 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1109221463.2171812, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.69844081962446, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.83460584811969 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 2007905343.3803637, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.01933743299949, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.87044922620323 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 3044853196.2184987, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.64326377519395, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.738812896371149 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1518958748.1926305, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.11389218767347, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.047615716363834 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "export_value_usd": 1487204740.3117628, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.0905115375023153, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.52210072818296 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16502829678.026707, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.87470234819459, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5798558486581552, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "080410", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: dates, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68453354.29919532, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4672543627655017, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "721310", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43103348.58071399, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "840710", "hs_description": "Engines: for aircraft, spark-ignition reciprocating or rotary internal combustion piston engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 66685250.77214281, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6389886110357035, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "760692", "hs_description": "Aluminium: plates, sheets and strip, thickness exceeding 0.2mm, alloys, (not rectangular or square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43740867.48674885, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8479433131172535, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "381512", "hs_description": "Catalysts, supported: reaction initiators, reaction accelerators and catalytic preparations, with precious metal or precious metal compounds as the active substance, n.e.c. or included", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93504420.46363795, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.9897815648686, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0185729397866095, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "481920", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: folding cartons, boxes and cases, of non-corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 324175385.883964, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.974353286608846, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2986920009238436, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "721049", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 936751370.1557014, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.996711549424298, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 403838316.42040944, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.33578812243229, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7099177551156142, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "hs_code": "540720", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: from strip or the like, of synthetic textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49687871.4040159, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.05614171815972, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.618102952955375, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "distance_km": 10657, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1990761.6096649999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 52051.3501037452, "importer_population": 38246.109, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.251317075010099, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.513050048545457, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.15660689448485, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.3564431540606074 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-CAN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-CAN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-CAN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-CAN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-CAN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }