{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.977Z", "seo": { "title": "Saudi Arabia exports to Burundi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Saudi Arabia to Burundi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BDI", "country_name": "Burundi" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2009, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 90643566.78577724, "attention_trade_usd": 90576293.68931758, "critical_trade_usd": 20739028.86351193, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 75153806.82193281, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 20762065.351413835, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 90620530.29787533, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 90643566.78577724, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0516066547756207, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.680371291534776, "product_concentration_hhi": 4416.76948602627, "top1_product_share_pct": 60.03159395417681, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.92578282293475, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 54414777.95842087, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 3644.848388671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.434107171313126, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.434107171313126, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2902.029386, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 237, "buyer_population_latest": 12255.429, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4274001092142052, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3041796202539757, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.767675185188234, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 13.686000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.234, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.92578282293475, "critical_trade_share_pct": 22.87975815484576, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2902.029386, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 237, "buyer_population_2024": 12255.429 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 28086227.243149586, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 19697029.87871046, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.86943490776358, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 13724728.248021657, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.320823329531354, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 24749394.062384006, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.3270244418245, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.1283088192544675 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 21153837.46559585, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.527857076925187, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.406959778657858 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 12647871.942067377, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.21003535345486, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6869162250922396 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 14416218.168407593, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.981373581579515, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.4854282423451 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 4397614.283949188, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.49536811543034, "cagr_3y_pct": -40.76078105528143 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 1005226.1911422308, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.14155616577841, "cagr_3y_pct": -57.00524829142453 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 72713.5615267711, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.76644777389383, "cagr_3y_pct": -82.85037254131574 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 563403.1899030794, "yoy_growth_pct": 674.8254631918286, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.58798513384156 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 658487.7298110967, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.876819587119197, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.151704953402877 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 120309980.1686365, "yoy_growth_pct": 18170.64874893726, "cagr_3y_pct": 1082.7566886805694 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 1273425.0819238655, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.94154659477216, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.2355108193594 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 2946392.0283609526, "yoy_growth_pct": 131.37537262181155, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.78371184375975 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 1710430.3638119975, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.948310090850605, "cagr_3y_pct": -75.77476971591372 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 290547462.84034723, "yoy_growth_pct": 16886.80454858219, "cagr_3y_pct": 511.05630450189443 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 77011827.63990767, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.49423502547504, "cagr_3y_pct": 196.77157378438105 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 84333959.96476263, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.507802306798663, "cagr_3y_pct": 266.68997084115335 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 71912177.87136757, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.729276436900706, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.21414904504995 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 32036109.713536818, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.45106453201682, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.350406458467056 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 17238211.336401254, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.19130883698631, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.093497775908304 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 61933209.2979104, "yoy_growth_pct": 259.27862867726003, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.857684986986211 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 129271318.53607619, "yoy_growth_pct": 108.7269818592103, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.204058733035914 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 139034892.12853295, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.552776364489544, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.5443978068565 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 102808062.1156758, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.055927011017268, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.40440577854818 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 128689086.58922005, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.174119559246112, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.15035772883728038 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 182543823.54672867, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.848721119153474, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.500082463631344 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 68082346.0968087, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.7035608359652, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.836275367570638 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "export_value_usd": 92006078.6011397, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.13940672713156, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.582003628045012 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101159713.04329002, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.91725118554272, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1160038179094236, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99261064.00082283, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.3560931311196, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1246634797818185, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "310311", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: phosphatic, superphosphates, containing by weight 35% or more of diphosphorus pentaoxide (P2O5)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37613781.61151992, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.49348365543873, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7277576391433199, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10523543.65291452, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.66086642697206, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7203710166911258, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21501033.11287582, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.648926480389655, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.614256841119288, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SAU", "importer_iso3": "BDI", "distance_km": 3629, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2902.029386, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 236.79541417929966, "importer_population": 12255.429, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.434107171313126, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.434107171313126, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-BDI/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-BDI/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-BDI/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-BDI/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/SAU-BDI/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }