{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.076Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Rwanda exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Rwanda to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "RWA",
    "country_name": "Rwanda"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1956240.820973059,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1897012.4851574705,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 59228.33581558855,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1897012.4851574705,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1956240.820973059,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9231767798606755,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.8638166564979048,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9412.80130631909,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 96.97233923448508,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1897012.4851574705,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3760.455078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994,
    "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.97233923448508,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994,
    "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1150538.9647349017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 7911085.712270501,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 587.5982434974128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 464911.48415641615,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.12329102394487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 387036.87337807013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.7504166776284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.45215613623854
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 490680.3909871783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.778719222410064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.41589126531544
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 829796.9085532812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.11148759864834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.301781572845215
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 552637.4556293817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.400877981952995,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.606292009634634
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1890869.35928737,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 242.1536741721419,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.778897916044045
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 11712765.072151482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 519.438091511821,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 141.67359735489754
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 3004656.030061794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.34716728669196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.84019164387996
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1772068.076574038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.022597633660126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.139756394037884
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 809798.2243057031,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.302081561601376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.95699701570789
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 2436726.0331473835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 200.90533172464782,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.745317631094194
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1345078.9502110481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.799746384550076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.780198095865854
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 719510.0153939339,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.50797150003426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8638613568952707
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1298699.7697429124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.49780294328085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.922436918909458
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 842557.8679103863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.12296779130275,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.437397174400335
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 833055.0464230585,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1278538660965287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.005557567796681
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 890247.2362903936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.865355430340991,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.827337149876326
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1426828.9736888069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.273339306765706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.194823188744593
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1079769.4609041077,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.32383412340162,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.031615469191978
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1254193.9522632912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.153864104763183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.103203344608149
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1799649.5498323282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.49053004000854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.045165931535504
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 1764980.6281201246,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.9264262709055568,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.797561676889906
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "export_value_usd": 2421928.983484707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.221278517050685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.52758546572531
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 99246737.63081378,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9344912786309326,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
      "hs_code": "800110",
      "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, not alloyed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11202139.133372078,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.55962641940545,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5607869687184964,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "RWA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
    "distance_km": 2693,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "importer_population": 60041.996,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 40,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 11070.356518999999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 833.8298756368104,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.33147539878788,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ZAF/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ZAF/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ZAF/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ZAF/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}