{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.067Z", "seo": { "title": "Rwanda exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Rwanda to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RWA", "country_name": "Rwanda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 28418427.963629767, "attention_trade_usd": 4609073.7992791105, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2091535.0401194699, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 794267.3378425974, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4587997.838581733, "access_friction_trade_usd": 28418427.963629767, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 13, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6857219423999267, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.006049750594926, "product_concentration_hhi": 4343.861909577866, "top1_product_share_pct": 63.539753150849876, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.97074566029556, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 18056998.977442447, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "800110", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 11340.341796875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0009000000427477062, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9937695116808078, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5240757665959593, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.15039969710101, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 16.21860929527086, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1869513.1862431348, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8096923.39326969, "yoy_growth_pct": 333.103304798871, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3697157.4828387913, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.338737032982976, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3671620.2999962885, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6907247787263482, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.230392919955037 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3304821.344451807, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.990111328909812, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.821852104434484 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3954815.5860111555, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.668059898323122, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2710611953297155 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5542259.683824839, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.139522647496875, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.712224805854968 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3058953.247863208, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.80674991121754, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5440668690123847 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1771535.1726482313, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.08688302491337, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.485951697378425 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3336431.734181626, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.3356190548598, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.563195174356991 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4899998.078584666, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.86342982487424, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.005880762031865 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6172054.427036544, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.960343821589895, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.59794792231982 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 12238443.747350937, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.2880075350715, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.222587117830216 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11816322.999167696, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4491374630423177, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.100011385596396 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 15073969.512650337, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.569037455324306, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.66848109455174 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 17639704.684519585, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.02096564356217, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.959225162998965 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 25914446.98565024, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.909755288547885, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.92314670010343 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 26538710.41549165, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.408939809470323, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.74914408517927 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 20842111.66474513, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.465243267514623, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.71829153606096 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 35962207.42715069, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.54589172929882, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.541068058583237 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 39635483.419679426, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.214267297049995, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.305759762636129 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 22751500.400413465, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.59815085510699, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.964956742567959 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 39119683.847081885, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.94331432475968, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.84495635405817 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 56192355.553720884, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.64215154032367, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.339122220647303 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 35099415.15416022, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.537028287407246, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.548225203095356 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 28145254.430165723, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.81275384062985, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.394098350664427 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 26577477.76721739, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.570305526419439, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.086596657989887 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 46404001.56424235, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.59896672919221, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.753535110375333 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 34215730.23109335, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.265560991061054, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.726813905757689 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 31803487.976922583, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.050097244391562, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.166376862434286 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6032198009.175272, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.493939427249106, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7333065348969213, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "800110", "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 742119519.3911514, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.22384575107992938, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "130219", "hs_description": "Vegetable saps and extracts: n.e.c. in item no. 1302.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1096804460.421239, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.468352731874674, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6315638454787661, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172852223.49962837, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0583470759657914, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "420291", "hs_description": "Cases and containers: with outer surface of leather, of composition leather or of patent leather, n.e.s. in heading no. 4202", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 587839093.8608472, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.607262065708404, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6559260588975891, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "200929", "hs_description": "Juice: grapefruit, of a Brix value exceeding 20, unfermented, not containing added spirit, whether or not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11810005.411264814, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.05968611457698, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7927907268650697, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "080262", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: macadamia, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 106940602.12399726, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.06561625975749, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5704782937537417, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "110620", "hs_description": "Flour, meal and powder: of sago or of roots or tubers of heading no. 0714", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26973706.801834628, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.9521066810104, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0841353650162322, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "460290", "hs_description": "Basketwork, wickerwork and other articles: of non-vegetable materials, made directly to shape from plaiting materials or made up from goods of heading no. 4601", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 273788043.4939155, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.835451616667925, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.31588751362586, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "110290", "hs_description": "Cereal flours: n.e.s. in heading no. 1102", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85147681.18927932, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.130665936669995, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0192512075070976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 11337, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 11070.356518999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 833.8298756368104, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9937695116808078, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696969, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5240757665959593, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.15039969710101 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }