{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.197Z", "seo": { "title": "Rwanda exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Rwanda to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RWA", "country_name": "Rwanda" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 13, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 9796300.537433645, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5719861.292801865, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 560394.701454576, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 213074.32330182794, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0199865255225322, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.153491761240458, "product_concentration_hhi": 4566.715745772087, "top1_product_share_pct": 58.06944237502295, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.82495113856879, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 5688657.095469094, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5188.5419921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012600000947713852, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.8994965387240406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5885062259855517, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.331906900883135, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2483564.15293588, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2245465.8196847523, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.586961261687799, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2310776.121875886, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.908541364495254, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4030980.3884476833, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.4427056471112, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.519995863794513 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2692618.5309496652, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.20189453993887, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.2403421202996245 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1812090.8005051233, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.70154016707249, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.7837703976267765 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 602617.9596730963, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.74460465749755, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.92657334674557 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 969485.7410653864, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.87899895836257, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.858634223012313 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 615324.7761032751, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.53080700010266, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.234376122057316 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 345532.1037230642, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.84557275407506, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.922750192049275 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 477776.9312752227, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.272804792156045, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.011975858297525 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 741561.289651693, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.21077747986072, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.417785255715791 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1144986.2984501955, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.4021127354138, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.08614844111951 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2819282.353283695, "yoy_growth_pct": 146.22847951104353, "cagr_3y_pct": 80.70540056942465 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 923282.2940329365, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.25115904203194, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.579408481048855 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1274570.2553990772, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.04773075758876, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6385106200484296 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 4113544.5534500703, "yoy_growth_pct": 222.73972627441316, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.42075768195523 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2809984.5202107104, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.689459450391787, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.91826974328674 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 1175897.6429612122, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.152878263078975, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6501589174507623 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2045268.193546999, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.93250218586105, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.77820354288037 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2471857.765462073, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.85739040293111, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.183599928509918 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2958354.8355660457, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.681434623849814, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.006682678010236 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 2221327.2093865364, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.913428819247365, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.790763195248891 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5282664.004118042, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.81566181674577, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.808098939686765 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5658855.186160808, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.121239998408213, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.134578006315266 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5428971.524314796, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.062370466878384, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.70023160356701 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 5906130.352468221, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.78912011264692, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7886858398298306 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 6960216.26492802, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.847318795110702, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.143225862136693 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 9071945.795667639, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.339998792572832, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.6663618390128 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 10722863.234031137, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.19805227619309, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.993281327787418 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2560435823.245683, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1671054379602968, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "130219", "hs_description": "Vegetable saps and extracts: n.e.c. in item no. 1302.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 142037556.39929903, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8655323331558012, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "800110", "hs_description": "Tin: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 122002268.67606169, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.60749158986157, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5285133503845925, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "070960", "hs_description": "Vegetables: fruits of the genus capsicum or of the genus pimenta", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 138948650.54114825, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7530061496616597, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17733909.729797408, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0854549471124106, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RWA", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 5169, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 11070.356518999999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 833.8298756368104, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.8994965387240406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5885062259855517, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.331906900883135 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RWA-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }