{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.048Z", "seo": { "title": "Russia exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 17, "current_lane_count": 9, "current_product_count": 9, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 33359428.567307845, "attention_trade_usd": 31463414.125537574, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 17726592.469398387, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 568872.9164954277, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 21317595.42835175, "access_friction_trade_usd": 33359428.567307845, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 33359428.567307845, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 9, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9125451864502937, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.13230447356036, "product_concentration_hhi": 1835.640362602524, "top1_product_share_pct": 22.89979339979406, "top3_product_share_pct": 62.867735133517385, "top_product_hs6": "310230", "top_product_trade_usd": 7639240.221265377, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310230", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 7975.7001953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00800000037997961, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888888, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888888, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.31640611605572, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1370107.3349639198, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 125927.1877130187, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.80895456148077, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 3049686.8351426856, "yoy_growth_pct": 2321.7858673162445, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 324984.3008525395, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.34368286252793, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.09829705507794 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 625436.4225927955, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.45127255441952, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.61657575366172 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 69603.36152132059, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.87123310907056, "cagr_3y_pct": -71.63442076002762 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 71403.87178801354, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.5868151010801643, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.65798711904572 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 7281.185420315382, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.80281427604929, "cagr_3y_pct": -77.33583931476898 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 36382.30714369479, "yoy_growth_pct": 399.6756028514778, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.446081034565267 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 151156.70981346173, "yoy_growth_pct": 315.46763160581435, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.401044392369833 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 47526.126953077175, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.55837427810658, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.88600383893888 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 33781.270392136306, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.920632591229754, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4422188982604065 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 42721.793510639945, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.465917399556528, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.374289935115385 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 3630053.2777306377, "yoy_growth_pct": 8396.958997815871, "cagr_3y_pct": 324.2874557008588 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 649637.70281321, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.10390721264187, "cagr_3y_pct": 167.9158545258084 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 184432.54335219713, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.60993850056346, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.82810162368266 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1315950.296043019, "yoy_growth_pct": 613.5130666880447, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.6968315073471 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1425595.0996359554, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.331986696050109, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.949613044112322 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 987460.5058884101, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.733452567242182, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.94198896184389 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 9418325.417545892, "yoy_growth_pct": 853.7926186802075, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.7131729356762 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 21598898.02425485, "yoy_growth_pct": 129.32843224993195, "cagr_3y_pct": 147.44487696699213 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1495347.4403138976, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.0767419771385, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.834960573024336 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1573267.9042653856, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.2108601553583656, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.926459472858426 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 7598563.919581776, "yoy_growth_pct": 382.97965648322395, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.40618664316147 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 58852325.64119823, "yoy_growth_pct": 674.5190573383695, "cagr_3y_pct": 240.1526347264311 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 12425335.117162263, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.88726574219832, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.1445731108363 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 6649230.133980198, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.48651266720306, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.351107063991188 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 19979069.923987135, "yoy_growth_pct": 200.4719271466659, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.240416468158205 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 27374631.547368217, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.016546073057555, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.120799759832686 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 33518767.893386982, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.44463577669398, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.46371427269777 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310230", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79771433.99910066, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.524264679525153, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9326923097575927, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310530", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27278347.04168613, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310540", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: ammonium dihydrogenorthophosphate (monoammonium phosphate) and mixtures thereof with diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33157852.550864544, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.54924517927431, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15827674.809879487, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2209695625973171, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43163621.68375066, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0983231573003411, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310221", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium sulphate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12807604.316380396, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0510273908118952, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310260", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, double salts and mixtures of calcium nitrate and ammonium nitrate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18440851.125366867, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.42354083512999285, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89158339.17676443, "current_below_peak_pct": 93.84401788780892, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4119165834210985, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "854460", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11112802.59861211, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6957071320129996, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 7935, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888888, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.733624088888888, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }