{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.041Z", "seo": { "title": "Russia exports to Malawi: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Malawi, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MWI", "country_name": "Malawi" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2016, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 40121912.02005817, "attention_trade_usd": 40121912.02005817, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 32365969.368234776, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7755942.65182339, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 32365969.368234776, "access_friction_trade_usd": 40121912.02005817, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 40121912.02005817, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.172494754813868, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.778580036576914, "product_concentration_hhi": 3637.1021157854934, "top1_product_share_pct": 42.533193872224125, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "310520", "top_product_trade_usd": 17065130.624734536, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310520", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 7767.931640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0020000000949949026, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.27108398927203, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.27108398927203, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12626.718073999999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 643, "buyer_population_latest": 19647.68, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.4742394112035031, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.0937742938528903, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.622931980611698, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.302, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.328, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 100, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12626.718073999999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 643, "buyer_population_2024": 19647.68 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 24065.628685106363, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 53205.00167008119, "yoy_growth_pct": 121.08294932269308, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 40086.142013382436, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.657192453535615, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 100210.82813564912, "yoy_growth_pct": 149.98870707536423, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.88139122849299 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 172803.06947900154, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.4395184571161, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.092476970779494 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 2367.5717487444417, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.6299017975302, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.056382038962845 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 242305.58084820383, "yoy_growth_pct": 10134.350066759416, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.21969738328505 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 3048.0156419343634, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.74207782121046, "cagr_3y_pct": -73.96913621288606 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 137.7210578548953, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.48161577781494, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.253506975838036 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 2255913.692405051, "yoy_growth_pct": 1637931.0517088182, "cagr_3y_pct": 110.3712339737021 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 22104.919455942825, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.02013452330365, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.56370000431077 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 7838217.275647448, "yoy_growth_pct": 35359.15329512849, "cagr_3y_pct": 3746.5582720775815 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 521.826864096361, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99334253127024, "cagr_3y_pct": -93.8614190920287 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 3312133.639688527, "yoy_growth_pct": 634618.8823680235, "cagr_3y_pct": 431.13669265605495 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 3441495.06349604, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9056824959417424, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.99480381991167 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 4699560.629014713, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.55578585199735, "cagr_3y_pct": 1980.5441742887876 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 14039348.06355693, "yoy_growth_pct": 198.73746019743024, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.83769955943463 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 20008914.213732243, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.520251817611076, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.8148094378476 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 24039688.938890263, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.14489483088331, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.30208349142251 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 12207044.71818444, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.22128672623354, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.554703496156609 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 10560491.326964628, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.488550498770557, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.185950868860104 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 11745990.780271957, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.225798275884502, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.23735890825933 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 5443103.956718287, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.65989929210328, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.602579045492966 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 11020288.426482338, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.46330979734957, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4307442897959488 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 10158572.718591874, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.819357121540627, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.724549115144461 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 3488000.3220123085, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.66446469759784, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.78623147054946 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 33478577.77163755, "yoy_growth_pct": 859.8215218146247, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.82982735895442 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "export_value_usd": 45618022.3550772, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.26033538893032, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.98124881323386 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42617497.69010435, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.681949140026539, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4764500267228757, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "100119", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16548449.344753258, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.069992691303807, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23506800.351528175, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.548070842585155, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7059274996125003, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MWI", "distance_km": 7734, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12626.718073999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 642.6569485048616, "importer_population": 19647.68, "importer_biz_entry_days": 37, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 32.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.27108398927203, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.27108398927203, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MWI/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MWI/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MWI/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MWI/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MWI/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }