{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.071Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Russia exports to Myanmar: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Myanmar, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "RUS",
    "country_name": "Russia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MMR",
    "country_name": "Myanmar"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "MMR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 41,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 8052739.5308137145,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3079661.942936227,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 347801.3102717919,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3442901.3919771793,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 8052739.5308137145,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6509083624449882,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.735194143387687,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4758.325463200138,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.245588550294514,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.80828712129475,
    "top_product_hs6": "310520",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 4609838.138836536,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310530",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 6526.04052734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.915468216091954,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.915468216091954,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65067.808984999996,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1187,
    "buyer_population_latest": 54806.015,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26699315940599266,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.9569924159110843,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6966663001618523,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.234,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.125999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 38.24365523250735,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65067.808984999996,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1187,
    "buyer_population_2024": 54806.015
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 11876455.662986776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 12396860.552282054,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.381819829607347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 391191.83717122837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.84442818791555,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 329250.7761550945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.833934947119477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -69.73458370851706
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 85859.99656407855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.92261376974432,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -80.9383839751711
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 3399981.007999102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3859.912816280685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 105.60274204456105
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 1973502.132873357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.955495391582545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 81.6506394005466
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 14536511.250934673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 636.5845219417104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 453.2096841521509
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 4257702.485511577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.71028658793345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.786972401228653
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 21685339.417631783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 409.3202141630199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 122.31880941544726
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 528504.2012759396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.56285022291961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.871933819834
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 4253894.420294987,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 704.8932080435758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.02982203898354019
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 9019397.830803558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.02683799044797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.35447565163411
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 19225522.77880999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.15749831047364,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 231.34206252947757
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 28551985.452435646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.510840412127074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 88.6325065335004
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 38233007.1838686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.9066498459816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.84041063200845
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 196193066.6310531,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 413.15102075944344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 116.90446854918011
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 118905791.94135083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.39347909528489,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.887473592072475
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 54574891.77543496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.10241092178797,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.594750158956236
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 34418520.19516248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.93341557728051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.01957651455369
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 82834403.7046132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 140.6681148257372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.351937750963991
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 237990944.3031994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 187.3092986241238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.3763476609543
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 162473896.5943036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.731059318243393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.7504912655498
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 241222497.01127782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.468462976307535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.8024590928668
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 233309770.53586084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2802605782855543,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6599979144003454
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 189691312.72880924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.69551271122065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.298281136340566
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 265369769.57427138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.89558391303627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2312563546545103
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 18017202.69101091,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.210529322946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -57.41550717178478
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 17073336.533690933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.238694227439034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.18497397767812
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "export_value_usd": 14100958.920731371,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.4094712365925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -62.40479995842825
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74673819.3081904,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.732863860167203,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7366771393412898,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "hs_code": "310530",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21852196.990880128,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.738036400522812,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4591459496051534,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "hs_code": "310221",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium sulphate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 175355204.31380716,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.74122677396652,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2364767682567654,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "MMR",
      "hs_code": "330610",
      "hs_description": "Oral or dental hygiene preparations: dentifrices",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15042182.894306775,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.72812596707983,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.10173382325083556,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "MMR",
    "distance_km": 6525,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65067.808984999996,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1187.2384625118248,
    "importer_population": 54806.015,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.915468216091954,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.915468216091954,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MMR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MMR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MMR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MMR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MMR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}