{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.986Z", "seo": { "title": "Russia exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "all_history_lane_count": 54, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 108105189.07641463, "attention_trade_usd": 102731835.20875412, "critical_trade_usd": 99087925.13101666, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 104119581.57333277, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 99574768.4276643, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 102761856.05939853, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1771731565046697, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 63.40177585315894, "product_concentration_hhi": 8424.702201907427, "top1_product_share_pct": 91.65880562955763, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.4093859618726, "top_product_hs6": "271121", "top_product_trade_usd": 99087925.13101666, "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271121", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1927.483642578125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721, "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 95.02951346409253, "critical_trade_share_pct": 91.65880562955763, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721, "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 25467833.877081823, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 100231525.47711688, "yoy_growth_pct": 293.561250481196, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 37979680.23976769, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.10804927992586, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 59018910.76559925, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.39601806284256, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.33246243217265 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 72106574.43840055, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.175373118593367, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.396802463387322 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 161797933.95425016, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.38721463945211, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.1090357584791 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 94493037.60692133, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.59811853120442, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.986623579020744 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 50642856.26582794, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.40572729125759, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.111050031514736 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 50385364.53105757, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5084463115958116, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.21860889981313 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 60974125.58345663, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.015549159859994, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.586434760440957 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 301141314.8421605, "yoy_growth_pct": 393.8837776853098, "cagr_3y_pct": 81.16906797348457 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 208089630.60713574, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.899673890245406, "cagr_3y_pct": 60.440994298116294 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 161115022.9075611, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.5742184089224, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.249473325279794 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 545710916.2731284, "yoy_growth_pct": 238.70889655412654, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.916952899887974 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 242236599.73443002, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.61082021434394, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.195325267527817 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 177688059.00709075, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.646898444787215, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3175427627915477 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 189638338.2991687, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.72542620976071, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.694737638181145 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 130177167.52176051, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.355036808856518, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.698538628691143 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 98041971.65436411, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.68573904254343, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.980346347170027 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 146199474.38985643, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.11927200451063, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.30621714880786 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 153734079.3485927, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.15364709085373, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.700841444704197 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 82040724.1951577, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.63465345954295, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.766392723494329 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 66902000.6495123, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.45269370079371, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.939628570737057 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 71416387.15679008, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.7477601020152544, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.552172183500975 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 53841365.118675046, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.609228690790818, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.098182590328932 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 68176551.47933462, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.62485679748743, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6310432079468686 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 107383072.90671198, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.50734024624502, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.563423677678022 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 401926755.43287766, "yoy_growth_pct": 274.2924695236163, "cagr_3y_pct": 95.43857385358669 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 244874140.46597353, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.0749341376285, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.14493278500949 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 117024981.31937625, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.210151265181295, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9076318715442806 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "271121", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: in gaseous state, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130312490.52071674, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.74715607887175, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1741624198259037, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13700862.628071599, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8022833998107407, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "760511", "hs_description": "Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15448082.738866512, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.26567041331348, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5554555087434685, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 150584577.19290155, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.02071518879589, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8992470988724206, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16773450.650690474, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1909439506905957, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "271113", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30762949.43129933, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.65507616494872, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8618348559427361, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86883164.29556505, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0179499622429466, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11873787.849637663, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.49901325850364, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1658364367984753, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24720743.060390472, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.22394579399483, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2343798026836152, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16601301.404190151, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.11936642586937, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5080104373822958, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "distance_km": 1926, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "importer_population": 2065.092, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MKD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MKD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MKD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MKD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MKD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }