{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.012Z", "seo": { "title": "Russia exports to Republic of Moldova: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Republic of Moldova, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "all_history_lane_count": 72, "current_lane_count": 55, "current_product_count": 55, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 123591722.67792025, "attention_trade_usd": 62284482.28857402, "critical_trade_usd": 13599004.621775385, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 61678552.557044856, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 48597553.981904425, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 90269544.19822149, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 9, "high_volatility_lane_count": 23, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 39, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 23, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0275933795970715, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.91926096490172, "product_concentration_hhi": 688.8146777195847, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.797780474154036, "top3_product_share_pct": 32.49525410482228, "top_product_hs6": "711319", "top_product_trade_usd": 15816997.352545483, "top_product_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310520", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 1150.3135986328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.23000000417232513, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.067687242632184, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.812528296245211, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13679.221333000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5315, "buyer_population_latest": 2573.928, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.170672417488102, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.45369402374179, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -2.048403712637259, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.576, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.6899999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 50.39535086899568, "critical_trade_share_pct": 11.003167790786735, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13679.221333000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5315, "buyer_population_2024": 2573.928 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 334327308.2253679, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 372719518.4407165, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.48342037003709, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 295044643.77858084, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.840034079001512, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 296272928.20287234, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4163046000635884, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.947935009053083 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 200389537.8719379, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.3631966351237, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.686191528454344 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 167568274.80358583, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.378730854365774, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.186459076984704 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 187449397.2028199, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.864490711345944, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.151899006677537 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 190907093.29553223, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.844602407001128, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6028905776589553 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 233283249.12155887, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.19726626942382, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.65990456978665 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 280735914.4390113, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.341222739368582, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.411929296723303 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 358132229.0483701, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.569082054933467, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.331433725830063 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 651450654.3508829, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.90227003079819, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.82053493297322 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 839068719.4569023, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.800042467217324, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.04555188623436 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 694403587.627022, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.24115420766925, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.69705115682448 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 432481269.55059946, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.71903295769064, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.76409727871054 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 638040588.3293921, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.53022460195646, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.725332689660215 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 703292132.6750529, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.22686417434846, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.42486758413633474 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 622441332.7027218, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.49604783218684, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.90427167880468 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 545200976.8809615, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.40925879494097, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.106578450987865 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 1028012722.568125, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.55665454770086, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.48912390036019 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 391659354.2281449, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.90131253923366, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.30870754632194 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 805474988.0963882, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.65702807833163, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.893379023452468 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 730876495.442796, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.261428816044791, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.748572982227877 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 778360498.6415987, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.4968573342935265, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.725709377274807 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 676684873.5051088, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.062793565954978, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.642128320035267 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 729883864.3332814, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.861708294528746, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.04529177554803976 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 1430015231.1086786, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.92366689938243, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.47664799352438 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 1046768597.5536017, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.80017843292124, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.652423816501472 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 588902912.8704317, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.740869352906266, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.904223236375174 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 193341723.23239532, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.16916846445729, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.675076903825264 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39983911.1847738, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9991292402106163, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20310299.71139236, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.162645161241606, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1600393740246773, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "210390", "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22787838.83666182, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.77427456586767, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7438957054338474, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "270111", "hs_description": "Coal: anthracite, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11779220.87277924, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.55955176776618, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2048351930772856, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "310230", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13304281.244465915, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.687898696969036, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7713251179416347, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "310559", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the two fertilizing elements nitrogen and phosphorus, other than nitrates and phosphates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15514388.636818735, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.351644111564023, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21980532.1999957, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.888926144888499, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1326881216104578, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "210111", "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13883507.0920473, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.85682349875659, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1832038994770024, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12336371.266353346, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.44764315619576, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3253787413597435, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 211055220.69338828, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.92026223398805, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8148382434420698, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "distance_km": 1147, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 1, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "importer_population": 2573.928, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.067687242632184, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.812528296245211 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MDA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MDA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MDA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MDA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-MDA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }