{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.065Z", "seo": { "title": "Russia exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LUX", "country_name": "Luxembourg" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "all_history_lane_count": 36, "current_lane_count": 8, "current_product_count": 8, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6501448.37745566, "attention_trade_usd": 5524062.925, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 5986484.259999999, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5574283.214, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6198131.591455661, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5466616663910662, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 61.45682016433688, "product_concentration_hhi": 7268.780748817191, "top1_product_share_pct": 84.96665057212745, "top3_product_share_pct": 93.62495513802727, "top_product_hs6": "280300", "top_product_trade_usd": 5524062.925, "top_product_description": "Carbon: carbon blacks and other forms of carbon n.e.s.", "top_attention_product_hs6": "280300", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2214.1318359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.2767009516161623, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878789, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.1410836046464645, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.1929387332323245, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683, "buyer_population_latest": 639.07, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.96665057212745, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683, "buyer_population_2024": 639.07 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 12801920.2460154, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 21289139.827323973, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.29645723617301, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 16795462.6792673, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.107838008040012, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 32860433.469543334, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.65065933019518, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.919737205630135 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 17823164.968891114, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.76101686117288, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.75125610828473 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 64478445.013608016, "yoy_growth_pct": 261.76764971961995, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.581648499737454 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 60982033.10024196, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.422605822190885, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.888017251230398 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 109096284.27271844, "yoy_growth_pct": 78.89906047144497, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.92583413768335 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 108809839.12117027, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2625617851769513, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.055977272922252 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 19582416.402292415, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.0030830295728, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.521412447855155 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 9115201.02988099, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.452113147722066, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.282824271714915 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 10737574.566461599, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.798549162681397, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.78893174088508 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 14860577.937059132, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.39790210608247, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.787056094939294 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 11306346.087050159, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.917184547348413, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.444785029104484 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 43042918.85624019, "yoy_growth_pct": 280.6969866731733, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.85412882393886 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 96268784.34361337, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.65765822049197, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.41603336881023 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 15520726.80392216, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.8777160117408, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.138174707701154 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 67783843.38758297, "yoy_growth_pct": 336.7311160354532, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.343330477992968 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 46690007.28383069, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.11926832348425, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.431917994687367 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 89572055.43300089, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.84416675818505, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.37152282673208 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 74399062.00968552, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.939427536822173, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1526580496843426 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 26953164.70695319, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.772171343444704, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.735104529792157 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 35745278.23579911, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.619967356107146, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.37668292216845 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 101859081.35798506, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.9581438030956, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.039483149565466 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 55386176.445948705, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.62470453538329, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.134632861328623 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "export_value_usd": 8579566.351339541, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.50955292118363, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.8536607049753 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "280300", "hs_description": "Carbon: carbon blacks and other forms of carbon n.e.s.", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 59451541.4228986, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.30008883375086, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.594567723050673, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "220860", "hs_description": "Vodka", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27703074.761383317, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.811993424597766, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6563386677310044, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "640419", "hs_description": "Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13943343.933792755, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.816749406265011, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "640411", "hs_description": "Sports footwear: tennis shoes, basketball shoes, gym shoes, training shoes and the like, with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52389141.55312466, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8531610281703595, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "853890", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38634535.00840234, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.137622160634418, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "640299", "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15022871.498847958, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0903900183997899, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "391810", "hs_description": "Floor, wall or ceiling coverings: of polymers of vinyl chloride, whether or not self-adhesive, in rolls or in the form of tiles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34255498.775337726, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.02677745501275, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.0401795679543144, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "hs_code": "170490", "hs_description": "Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not containing cocoa", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19839208.30298086, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.25329014116137, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34302395471668423, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "RUS", "importer_iso3": "LUX", "distance_km": 2214, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263, "importer_population": 639.07, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.2767009516161623, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.334022337878789, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.1410836046464645, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.1929387332323245 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LUX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LUX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LUX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LUX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LUX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }