{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.020Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Russia exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "RUS",
    "country_name": "Russia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 60,
    "current_lane_count": 31,
    "current_product_count": 31,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 290845694.6251698,
    "attention_trade_usd": 280729640.548127,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 84386869.49392927,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 211600565.2917265,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 83908330.29341011,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 290845694.6251698,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8564469076215782,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 54.73158350389923,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4634.092614261691,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 65.02158299275015,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 87.72373107543258,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 189112474.7115455,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 2441.484130859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.012500000186264515,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670,
    "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.52184843578999,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670,
    "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 96456504.13315298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 172965530.85489595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.31971763783436,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 58224042.83454457,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.33777692771064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 69842374.35722214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.954525582659066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.202862547061297
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 93171780.1996756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.402939200106196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.634254154037134
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 282014150.22609156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 202.68193826683313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.19577499784386
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 401117131.0972407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.23298042869974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.08150618552033
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 175073422.0729722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.35354152188277,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.399085852202273
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 230508185.88160336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.663723226661688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.5013907495893974
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 349220802.84729743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.50039097816197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.513282221729876
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 506637257.8215777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.07648275555716,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.50353394477327
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 199672837.00779134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.588599846300674,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.674107832564445
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 254449146.4558725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.43303008508051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.015654124298944
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 456550057.101549,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 79.42683772402657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.410387073654375
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 293602290.96178687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.691106288377526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.713881465628086
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 356278460.1261366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.347302488353947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.874091805507003
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 429601608.7977804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.580292349328253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.007576352381635
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 289330165.0708101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.65151732543862,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.487395819543035
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 683056533.0417471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 136.08203205309655,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.228820260566476
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 824612463.6980948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.723896750680247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.278117227281303
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 732496454.4147174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.170824276687464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.29207514098207
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 621670498.5992471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.129896554110012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.090161539793812
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 698319276.4799132,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.329486127035416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.390507702539327
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 520898560.0021131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.40681926641668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.741576907498063
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 888512795.6205431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.57309500278495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.64220484603904
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 407977630.21400476,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.08308892962306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.40234276391217
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 552653825.3829731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.46179605315085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9921330240172619
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 317759808.8215586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.502920593852714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.018513032520467
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 539691509.366657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.84259632083507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.774907093520135
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "export_value_usd": 312511567.38689125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.09440727469806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.306576473064407
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2381512153.9028864,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.0978466775548,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7344540705264653,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "100119",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56542356.60130054,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0942610667935961,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119330441.04835244,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.876980981513,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2252071137683036,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "071320",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: chickpeas (garbanzos), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20281190.116359673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4036888001848913,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "721391",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, n.e.s. in heading no. 7213, of circular cross-section measuring less than 14mm in diameter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15398705.055854736,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.054767134306644,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8304758284165665,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "440712",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of fir (Abies spp.) and spruce (Picea spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19258110.76627538,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.42726068506117,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7495426790137114,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 131315490.9751027,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.22657951135716,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1150548172664798,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "722611",
      "hs_description": "Steel, alloy: flat-rolled, width less than 600mm, of silicon-electrical steel, grain-oriented",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21890772.122360263,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.779021513958504,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6924850515439803,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84765497.56299353,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.74689838037828,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0711518736986685,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "LBN",
      "hs_code": "720839",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28027250.487000268,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.74060742944617,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9618310769799149,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "LBN",
    "distance_km": 2434,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "importer_population": 6769.151,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LBN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LBN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LBN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LBN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-LBN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}