{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.988Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Russia exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "RUS",
    "country_name": "Russia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 222,
    "current_lane_count": 116,
    "current_product_count": 116,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1561298333.1731887,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1473121762.42334,
    "critical_trade_usd": 79823925.37693343,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1159413122.2542365,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 327192919.1755041,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1463505021.5047674,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 4,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 29,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 75,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 65,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 87,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1934254605682033,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.401519025238724,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2900.8861908808176,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 51.467437990392206,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 69.20661181819162,
    "top_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 803560251.470938,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2466.58935546875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 43.96147324099617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 43.96147324099617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.35235605672888,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 5.112663203495451,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 446695879.2181037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 644729394.6731274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.33296223857304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 561701973.3441935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.877871245660854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 542662687.3485776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.38957078649057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.702027484294049
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 476834594.8502068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.130572827846986,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.566342649907721
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 692641855.6872633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.258306164813874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.234433244812055
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 929558023.9894124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.20471436382844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.650774540461136
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 855075399.1053882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.012692372270092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.49140423281326
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1376323911.6324606,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.95936253954004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.71988479952525
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1744995669.9403095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.786700077786673,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.35950457003404
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1613870561.7478602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.514351493888505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.581870041566823
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1472436063.4005327,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.763682893760116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.275575093033022
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2363237052.2040777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.498449538533805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.637998656751812
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2722288633.5066547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.193210557007264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.038786240989026
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1936710538.6601796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.85726682973181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.566071432403533
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3042326600.9649816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.08731584998083,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.784290239024495
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3081990368.1507025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3037313999470168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.223511763206678
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2123744392.4442744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.091790085035463,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1206977939865377
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1047580513.159029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.67294741843482,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.909279318661298
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1171914210.4088838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.868653119073457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.552815131782495
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 853110712.7236099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.2036549137878,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.215061982306597
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1766893394.5326474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.11185174216466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.034900151086465
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1205072844.1394746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.797082502636066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9343893301869022
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1219833008.1383538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2248358321790276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.65876736009468
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1402844918.54936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.003029856546469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.4023911408840455
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1397355113.870657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.39133368244153033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.058492054841768
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2961213313.2062893,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.9155885152031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.39706072003066
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1435986657.7757397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.506814744767304,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.781367531367394
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1581600467.4147828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.14033165632544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.21494380189289
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 1624641458.2731142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7213567361094926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.135437332434844
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1673499599.121892,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.9376585468443452,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3213293746606816,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3131836459.550966,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.82809445113302,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8575545810880111,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "440711",
      "hs_description": "Wood: coniferous species, of pine (Pinus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or finger-jointed, of a thickness exceeding 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141103677.6229176,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7433973559619335,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "840140",
      "hs_description": "Nuclear reactors: parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 122146345.6623326,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1453222249919746,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "100390",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: barley, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 544863626.7259259,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.51075199750541,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0974557880654214,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 754373723.2961314,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.03912904686612,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3880031839974722,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "284390",
      "hs_description": "Inorganic or organic compounds: of precious metals (excluding gold and silver), whether or not chemically defined, amalgams of precious metals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104307914.61912295,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.278096689460558,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9204953813963171,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "071340",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 145200062.52240375,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9311586611103558,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 114665741.80634724,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.3799168001129565,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "720839",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94619175.3228842,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.26169177338481,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1843236613492485,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "distance_km": 2464,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "importer_population": 85028.763,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 43.96147324099617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 43.96147324099617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-IRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-IRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-IRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-IRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-IRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}