{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.065Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Russia exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Russia to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "RUS",
    "country_name": "Russia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HRV",
    "country_name": "Croatia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "all_history_lane_count": 122,
    "current_lane_count": 22,
    "current_product_count": 22,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 154005498.40170455,
    "attention_trade_usd": 5479730.146221933,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 151579288.7172957,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6078880.889740154,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 729179.6655567315,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 11,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3045377014209754,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 34.2575415490286,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8883.421384246018,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 94.21452886738217,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.77266815662283,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 145095554.74902973,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310520",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 1875.3597412109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.06678400188684464,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3899,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 3.558139289240651,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3899
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 147107306.29065576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 180725393.9536559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.852765447677537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 230972242.84713352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.80287141405409,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 213004986.11107934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.778967946354321,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.131924633470193
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 335004946.6413805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.27563601101795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.841189519556828
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 535767156.64369655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.928133006713495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.37483502438418
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 606860481.531747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.26944438576887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.76413181702372
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 633856931.4009858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.4485430656315605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.683948520581666
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 643193290.2916137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.472944197358883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.280879431608732
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1007580685.9227283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.6528602103276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.41234783304222
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1434529840.299424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.37369377378464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.29235779227546
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1838501318.4476373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.16054896870559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.91908859760585
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2125063334.7749333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.586718021462097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.24211780180479
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 2722324314.5321074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.105561372382827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.806493972082965
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1799709966.1752598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.89068464149613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7083200667288514
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1556843662.8196316,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.494746815886515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.851665323805324
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1233231086.3735507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.7864530122427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.198765576006654
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 897753229.2285223,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.203162558246664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.691789350785783
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1169324136.6965046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.250061890766446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.100121297014008
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1354886333.7560444,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.8691838504059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1856884769353
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 744943402.0390747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.01801490801617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.0300994286117575
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 470420394.4791513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.85152547273971,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.17835092950791
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 589731567.7364047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.362670211046968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.21489828442631
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 886119645.8576379,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.258133418035264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.955383834326722
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 1172407965.1226346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.30808848481295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.580596253925265
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 602441675.57918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.61501341675343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7133118092736312
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 726556788.5572109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.60201310918741,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.403616857862204
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 457868844.99640846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.98099691482619,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.905038037014673
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 194152914.49233618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.596391059570976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.439132800805204
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "export_value_usd": 156131325.0229165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.583321511725504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.10275782221201
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2011669910.8569348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.83269140910928,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3016379585391038,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52303592.22005348,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.41123227483641,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6919960802609004,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28021918.57805134,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 75.82996125149324,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7813953760182737,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "621210",
      "hs_description": "Brassieres: whether or not knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97135533.47599234,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.46354567801297,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5404893694384235,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "350400",
      "hs_description": "Peptones and their derivatives: other protein substances and their derivatives n.e.c. or included, hide powder, whether or not chromed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16935586.274279285,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.11088639829704619,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "610822",
      "hs_description": "Briefs and panties: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17897734.680002864,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6733451248656186,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "860719",
      "hs_description": "Railway or tramway locomotives or rolling stock: parts, axles and wheels, and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43238525.49685673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.4671453961197,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.204911402475057,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "611300",
      "hs_description": "Garments: made up of knitted or crocheted rubberised textile fabrics, or fabrics otherwise impregnated, coated, covered or laminated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12625837.074454734,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4232989846733668,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "611430",
      "hs_description": "Garments: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted, n.e.c. in chapter 61",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14782571.176975414,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5093233157895338,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
      "importer_iso3": "HRV",
      "hs_code": "611241",
      "hs_description": "Swimwear: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67924453.37922841,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 80.63605862623693,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2681035896905386,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "RUS",
    "importer_iso3": "HRV",
    "distance_km": 1872,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716,
    "importer_population": 3899,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-HRV/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-HRV/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-HRV/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-HRV/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/RUS-HRV/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}