{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.217Z", "seo": { "title": "Romania exports to Tajikistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Romania to Tajikistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ROU", "country_name": "Romania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TJK", "country_name": "Tajikistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "all_history_lane_count": 16, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 2005, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 334781.25650296744, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 103502.87516923269, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 98153.74104220883, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 236627.51546075864, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.559980541676049, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.59255950412761, "product_concentration_hhi": 2241.3523155618645, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.147745727167155, "top3_product_share_pct": 68.06431383208293, "top_product_hs6": "870332", "top_product_trade_usd": 124363.68990793762, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.342641385471342, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.016690878247392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.133572839613729, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 38834761.64518618, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 26035753.474516578, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.9576071242763, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 29772079.817853857, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.350751734511324, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 29506912.639098477, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8906572210530039, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.74968430495785 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 26893354.429452382, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.857443818717137, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0861388500190472 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 20151581.534993533, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.068545882381876, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.198893889271856 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 21752967.05193193, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.946698943492669, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.66315675412982 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 20952362.882170618, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.680436640436169, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.984142595784571 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 36451576.22327126, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.97358201680287, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.843507408136453 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 36101007.471904, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9617382502747462, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.395066728451592 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 33375999.39459119, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.548288172936946, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.788592339606478 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 49142.76999999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.85276015432825, "cagr_3y_pct": -88.95291302509503 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 163612.19999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 232.93239269988243, "cagr_3y_pct": -83.45124013181207 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 16379.129999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.98905338354963, "cagr_3y_pct": -92.11226732015031 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1787.1596558819306, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.08879985761192, "cagr_3y_pct": -66.86899781204312 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 234449.35233156924, "yoy_growth_pct": 13018.545484167882, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.739936095943616 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 458146.8728997285, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.41400662595807, "cagr_3y_pct": 203.55540178782357 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 561593.1836555172, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.57928993404463, "cagr_3y_pct": 579.8600032229224 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 757678.9687957256, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.915983820146934, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.84684629224716 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 505728.0004869439, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.25299746794331, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.34847938815801 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 458037.08554338815, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.430151167749512, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.568582409630908 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 520082.342821708, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.545902556058987, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.78773794736192 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 670739.3603070683, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.96791624725621, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.869951009409927 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 3299181.686503486, "yoy_growth_pct": 391.87238467608364, "cagr_3y_pct": 93.12353253156307 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 545934.9170578704, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.45241429742359, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.630232902628781 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 774741.176438408, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.91090407142497, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.922254889993383 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1034521.6638162537, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.53126118481173, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.062256359628215 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 1963779.6024140487, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.82488923140086, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.22064666500499 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "export_value_usd": 563281.2971873814, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.3164707233466, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.080013938633526 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45657051.180383205, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "732690", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10057407.67664579, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2378681841504953, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50814704.02701543, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.83359225397562, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3530569066965037, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39590552.59441067, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.93036623639605, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6264496404657398, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "841810", "hs_description": "Refrigerators and freezers: combined refrigerator-freezers, fitted with separate external doors, electric or other", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15199450.39246099, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.571681932737062, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17756831.27913964, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "TJK", "distance_km": 3582, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8746.270636000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 897.0879019449467, "importer_population": 9749.625, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.525382681609196, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-TJK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-TJK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-TJK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-TJK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-TJK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }