{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.022Z", "seo": { "title": "Romania exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Romania to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ROU", "country_name": "Romania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SRB", "country_name": "Serbia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "all_history_lane_count": 511, "current_lane_count": 460, "current_product_count": 460, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1074606377.811676, "attention_trade_usd": 203789650.2932136, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 489553489.8331118, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 294568880.3106217, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1458379.1357823284, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 285784617.55682284, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 42, "high_volatility_lane_count": 260, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 201, "declining_demand_lane_count": 3, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 111, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0473984020434943, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.184484948498575, "product_concentration_hhi": 232.97780270816136, "top1_product_share_pct": 8.705271462720821, "top3_product_share_pct": 18.85365265527941, "top_product_hs6": "271600", "top_product_trade_usd": 93547402.34421773, "top_product_description": "Electrical energy", "top_attention_product_hs6": "010229", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.1206858120000005, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5056420136691853, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.742183084108592, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 18.96412067721113, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 482625177.6186314, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 437478977.90968883, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.354298491368173, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 660647904.5173341, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.01249154278569, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 549664440.8900999, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.799184992241546, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.430948522576061 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 647137789.1598748, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.733246144125925, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.940955570448988 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 930760477.7394669, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.82724874524726, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.10439106998502 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 880986693.1034701, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.347646986137844, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.02821173106588 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 636674634.1159139, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.73164009173772, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5418762406281696 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 703851190.065283, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.551159469805228, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.893861741363107 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 631353768.1538866, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.300106462087843, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.511380308730256 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 652873926.3635665, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4085736547682544, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8410267807310579 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 754174697.6855724, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.516130638918234, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.328600896362154 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 809667939.3251088, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.358141530050699, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.645411363593247 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 903098816.0082059, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.539406730242474, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.421409848188869 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 826518356.4296722, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.479743104639148, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.100360026932436 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1106242191.4004462, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.84363248495805, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.963741466276144 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1426135437.7369637, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.917107738545855, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.450627457088295 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1346107432.83673, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.6115290864116485, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.654643697336315 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "export_value_usd": 1176712981.3684313, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.584021701100333, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.079870117561189 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271600", "hs_description": "Electrical energy", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 960976114.140339, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.73916887842836, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9539370439476864, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 131129545.8817709, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.09775139161897, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8926149604472118, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 780795065.3324084, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.3258344344884, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6242976851312297, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 328275722.274725, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.301424571663546, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1429676640589754, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123305243.07145363, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9941233605878494, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "441011", "hs_description": "Particle board of wood, whether or not agglomerated with resins or other organic binding substances", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73251047.3147153, "current_below_peak_pct": 6.029187455347944, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5373722902876586, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "761699", "hs_description": "Aluminium: n.e.c. in heading no. 7616", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 113832649.3464689, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2649975724447993, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 149582001.79677096, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.078076819815157, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7051296398512596, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 169756014.40667075, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.877215925229704, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1516404955535562, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "hs_code": "010229", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94011451.9668597, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1289483836135528, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "distance_km": 450, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "importer_population": 6844.078, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.1206858120000005, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5056420136691853, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.742183084108592 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-SRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-SRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-SRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-SRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-SRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }