{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.202Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Romania exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Romania to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ROU",
    "country_name": "Romania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 56,
    "current_lane_count": 9,
    "current_product_count": 9,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1689207.6466724977,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1341791.7280669434,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 825119.9559509621,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1498951.2648800134,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.7685060322813257,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.56333973044911,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2595.871924482211,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 38.816296529730806,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 78.34406671813876,
    "top_product_hs6": "851770",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 655687.8491352841,
    "top_product_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 5850660.028591571,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 7310088.491571008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.944680700081022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 8265732.843660675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.072951896431695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1748775.5454860006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.84306717186962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.13845575119513
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1920962.006593656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.846115560805323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.94809556541734
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3273131.7717848946,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.39023991885047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.566531504253877
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3042113.3210066906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.058024756889814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.267173789766634
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1539234.3714146349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.402464372850055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.118620055590352
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 14483694.376346288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 840.9674475391967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.17434317448428
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 68117311.79535052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 370.30343243499215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 181.85605620739526
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 6228498.834176852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.85621750181576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.35274350804933
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 31416734.43553581,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 404.40299134595233,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.447568227991596
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 7349488.680398255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.6064525405124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.393468426848024
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 21817821.863720793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 196.861765661479,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.87140171918854
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 18978129.708596665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.0154704390819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.466122559557983
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 22437560.25402549,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.228511442103688,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.06840484133461
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 33752297.33079156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.42766213735788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.654885294090427
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 28312591.352149013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.116550305688413,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.263819382162346
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 24612989.203651745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.066985294570921,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1326656463738
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 19099615.60648741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.40026008846717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.287001919745382
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 7442335.820617252,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.03410679066559,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.94153209246531
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 11356973.35149296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.59958197574368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.72611477702148
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 5093467.249357147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.151191327858726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.6330451144687
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 13684209.07280867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 168.66196252730927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.50960681383598
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 11966065.038598655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.555669275939874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7566773174385153
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 8246414.740281178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.084991484828873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.422291586131088
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 23528965.45627653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 185.3235763336621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.801165661771236
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 16304979.51269827,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.7025226289803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.86376740052053
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3268789.5081216083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.95220107099254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.541747269215943
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3508974.5667453194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.347828853064686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.96949093922015
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "851770",
      "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62831174.44610754,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.18979667023777,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2108089400511646,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 152747305.66644198,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.127371367660448,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.199334603211044,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "844399",
      "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17731113.00037008,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3305891164460044,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "290110",
      "hs_description": "Acyclic hydrocarbons: saturated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 122709003.05559024,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.41850690773698,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7157963586382954,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "391740",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tube, pipe and hose fittings (e.g. joints, elbows, flanges)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10211070.016046315,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7212652569859924,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "761010",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading no. 9406) and parts of structures, doors, windows and their frames and thresholds for doors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20168777.468441833,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "870880",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, suspension shock-absorbers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16147708.578846673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.281283284003976,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7671638691434405,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "902750",
      "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: using optical radiations (UV, visible, IR), (other than spectrometers, spectrophotometers and spectrographs)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11262130.545218697,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3147083783613147,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "853650",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: switches n.e.c. in heading no. 8536, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10913552.374073118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.654484610423136,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8973297029728334,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "distance_km": 5174,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "importer_population": 54985.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.70580397151516,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-KEN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-KEN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-KEN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-KEN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-KEN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}