{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.987Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Romania exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Romania to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ROU",
    "country_name": "Romania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 136,
    "current_lane_count": 33,
    "current_product_count": 33,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 114058579.36697875,
    "attention_trade_usd": 104265644.39022139,
    "critical_trade_usd": 96147934.48709285,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 102396781.37797149,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 101877748.15778296,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 109512850.3825665,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 16,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 28,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2010870256277346,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 61.57414828767874,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7137.84024226366,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 84.29697706276076,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 90.3100673548129,
    "top_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 96147934.48709285,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100590",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.41411805134886,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 84.29697706276076,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 28891657.159514762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 33575171.70176818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.210612345270125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 54014238.51835382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.8755392172998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 17490402.549916614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.6189037748381,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.405437093870999
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 12879784.300694443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.36084696200518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.339767610965062
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 27535521.105829597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.78868203829278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.115654622840783
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 46893171.752513066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.3006511926343,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.921650508531805
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 52260211.59950084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.445248095635897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.49761425164834
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 77569811.61206701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.429960840051244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.23201182867036
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 71680576.74068148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.592173745165287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.194203843947097
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 94767727.87397355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.20837803358412,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.944748253061384
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 58591779.52075015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.173278145205536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.928745870326594
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 120326988.7281522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.36496708644711,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.846716017344466
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 176958308.47818035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.06452006205524,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.14123267817476
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 73868371.74198778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.256624186088416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.029063835488802
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 159349115.78162375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.72035774418939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.81513586250129
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 352339300.69388974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.11155055089533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.804654661227854
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 327615207.67343503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.017126097419046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.29909668751273
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 114209233.18652804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.13921499627968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.508074470284878
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 78447388.5040997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.312568769305738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.3907187033819
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 135079720.92655477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.19148209056753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.57102573740876
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 307099340.87920237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 127.34673922385262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.05690410218647
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 317108660.324564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2593099733479347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.29783403650539
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 188283404.09711266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.62495678787118,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.705347078575802
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 61915637.43833188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.11572231485836,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.36271934640363
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 50093037.01096977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.094692256277657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.94244237846248
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 338469063.7996082,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 575.680861045593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.591247108371793
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 200578420.7775394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.739511456121555,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.965779500936655
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 183986114.47162762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.272229007284004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.2893306872017
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 117393178.39380753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.19454450085109,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.74002994641125
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3131836459.550966,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 66.28930311826812,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.278851535574659,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1376443787.7556658,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.65643439110831,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2319552009953261,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "151211",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: sunflower seed or safflower oil and their fractions, crude, not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 754373723.2961314,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 87.79441571672832,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.059412553007236,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "844332",
      "hs_description": "Printing, copying, and facsimile machines: single-function printing, copying or facsimile machines, capable of connecting to an automatic data processing machine or to a network",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20183816.261220083,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7213741198087843,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "020421",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, carcasses and half-carcasses (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses of lamb), fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23824436.84750279,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8742215538734992,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14642477.820274662,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.62779455203249,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2917018408526324,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 222252062.86578375,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.31710581188872,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5309887154287298,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "440792",
      "hs_description": "Wood: beech (Fagus spp.), sawn or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled, whether or not planed, sanded or end-jointed, thicker than 6mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40679378.88339423,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.4247232292682,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3052862867464419,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "821210",
      "hs_description": "Razors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15636003.384703062,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8084013557265217,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "845180",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for wringing, dressing, finishing, coating or impregnating textile yarns, fabrics or made up textile articles: for applying paste to base fabric used in manufacture of floor coverings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13493362.97272235,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.06909211034599114,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "distance_km": 2355,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "importer_population": 85028.763,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121214,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-IRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-IRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-IRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-IRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-IRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}