{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.068Z", "seo": { "title": "Romania exports to Congo, Rep. of the: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Romania to Congo, Rep. of the, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ROU", "country_name": "Romania" }, "importer": { "iso3": "COG", "country_name": "Congo, Rep. of the" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "all_history_lane_count": 20, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5261864.182170755, "attention_trade_usd": 4403518.693333698, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 370455.52231467364, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3687093.602883455, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2062660.5458096843, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 5261864.182170755, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9701794965835847, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 64.67516632260353, "product_concentration_hhi": 3897.3003038162, "top1_product_share_pct": 53.75942852404473, "top3_product_share_pct": 92.95961451133762, "top_product_hs6": "100199", "top_product_trade_usd": 2828748.1140463976, "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "100199", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.378765721360643, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.04968454334934869, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.429657428908505, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.43, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 38.572, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 83.68742599352021, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 4299.42683879213, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 338295.17895656475, "yoy_growth_pct": 7768.378545350582, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 2023000, "yoy_growth_pct": 497.998471701467, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 2957999.9999965546, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.218487394787665, "cagr_3y_pct": 782.8004289158675 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 337999.99999999994, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.5733603786209, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.029093413999203843 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 564873.685766791, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.12239223869558, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.639030262198354 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 78432.5512302737, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.11502833172253, "cagr_3y_pct": -70.18056635459298 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 448252.95466682984, "yoy_growth_pct": 471.5139283825966, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.867393195482531 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 188169.9300451586, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.021485840507516, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.678764704815176 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 396808.0098718181, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.87748174035501, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.67011422014988 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 712254.9798608521, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.49611956949498, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.691022270014756 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 849296.5835968759, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.240525880604807, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.2607494293614 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 839298.1426515676, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1772614111979163, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.364601616329608 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 3001145.4741501845, "yoy_growth_pct": 257.5779954270794, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.51660759638167 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 1279581.1322925212, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.363575231058995, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.639992823519243 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 284906.36401117285, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.73440410920023, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.24179513412113 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 8405793.751767928, "yoy_growth_pct": 2850.370652807983, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.960433750510525 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 8499420.08113355, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.1138309138970959, "cagr_3y_pct": 87.97805672464733 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 16023836.37788029, "yoy_growth_pct": 88.5285845966002, "cagr_3y_pct": 283.13760823367994 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 14165258.86473862, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.598829826465884, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.000447688905652 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 9989642.377357477, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.47786925218463, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.532659335083734 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 114559899.95872426, "yoy_growth_pct": 1046.7867980778344, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.64395007900721 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 3599721.5484795594, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.85778221718373, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.65950338314281 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 4128067.793093404, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.67741983645945, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.51554805111239 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 3796949.2829924882, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.021150007635637, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.87813714854832 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 6332042.062069235, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.76656942540895, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.71418161866847 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 2546880.543072328, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.777896007215745, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.86909474114837 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 4481098.254331595, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.94457920378161, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.677668574404371 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 10074281.402714808, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.81723967950566, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.7410053053612 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "export_value_usd": 7915586.324461096, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.427782210570257, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.93456613753697 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "100199", "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36803926.239901796, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.29697496985592, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8277872057510316, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "020714", "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88496706.33126341, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.00218987433935, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.95511104651313, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "730429", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: casing and tubing, of a kind used in drilling for oil or gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20905085.696108922, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.90545055553125, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9040793930759148, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "732690", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22089194.630429517, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.40268608137947, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.611212239750587, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "848180", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27732135.23944007, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.68752652439038, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.081139745175573, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "hs_code": "853710", "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12792603.561859082, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.20915992384062, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9282337763582207, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ROU", "importer_iso3": "COG", "distance_km": 5501, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12523.961677, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2213.880862829297, "importer_population": 5657.017, "importer_biz_entry_days": 49.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 62.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 18.933137335757575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-COG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-COG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-COG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-COG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-COG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }