{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.206Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Romania exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Romania to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ROU",
    "country_name": "Romania"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BWA",
    "country_name": "Botswana"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
    "importer_iso3": "BWA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 8,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1130281.6596554876,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1130281.6596554876,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 427159.6957387829,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1130281.6596554876,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6497647811287453,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 41.519413936370015,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4766.732879744111,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 62.207676990089176,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "854449",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 703121.9639167049,
    "top_product_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 2522.3371212623415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 4592.694836042742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.08092793497244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 7244.8494185539685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.74724159109237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 8.357464102316932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.88464268034456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -85.09184854702386
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 3028.541313366877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36137.56292925359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.959380984540648
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 6290.33095865068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.70167244829886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.600072593037218
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 4640.725931233514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.224455251413648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 721.9343556294696
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 49409.19202562858,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 964.6867054373868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 153.624624206686
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 75331.85315834587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.46526014687951,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 128.7889534634532
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 103513.42631406839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.40990294833912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 181.4947207666488
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 180551.2645892,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.42303961748146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.0272615542702
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 487655.29997620574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 170.0924311362457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.37089857747087
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 165377.36583458952,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -66.0872411634491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.903216883174288
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 41782.78284696644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.73488428352549,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.605102910217994
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 93013.48825248194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 122.61199928485618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.43687966926431
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 18736.942573033117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.85567155360056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.611641989158976
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 55612.14662486899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 196.80480904556967,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.999513852178143
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 2198597.153958358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3853.447740093484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 186.9898759417594
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 3444933.428749208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.68779624075033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 468.62685861434244
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 1468508.3013038826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.37193964189111,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 197.78460998233834
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 855979.286683897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.710967113779574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.98044228891272
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 1114164.0629640538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.16250279611046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.358077673639116
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 1898471.7703760243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.39427436974105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.93712578989141
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 1292299.1862662958,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.929502116835053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.718450342606682
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "export_value_usd": 1507808.5792583658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.67643184197296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.61117894303445
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45546778.67244661,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.84638197538278,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9835057967234273,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "853690",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: n.e.s. in heading no. 8536, for switching or protecting electrical circuits, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18250472.883364383,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.67435057961458,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.05761268090911,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
      "importer_iso3": "BWA",
      "hs_code": "392690",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18779532.580225803,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.694345260047015,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2308792021417931,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ROU",
    "importer_iso3": "BWA",
    "distance_km": 7650,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007,
    "importer_population": 2397.24,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 48,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 284087.56369599997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14861.90839631,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-BWA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-BWA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-BWA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-BWA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ROU-BWA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}