{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.253Z", "seo": { "title": "Qatar exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Qatar to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "QAT", "country_name": "Qatar" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "all_history_lane_count": 14, "current_lane_count": 6, "current_product_count": 6, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 11007377.951835835, "attention_trade_usd": 10282041.49974903, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6534228.706366824, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6884029.887757958, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4789872.24570085, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 11007377.951835835, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 4, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0812957239427692, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 50.40241666826128, "product_concentration_hhi": 3159.272221847727, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.45985721686042, "top3_product_share_pct": 93.41045201445243, "top_product_hs6": "340211", "top_product_trade_usd": 4123348.064077879, "top_product_description": "Organic surface-active agents: anionic (other than soap), whether or not put up for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "340211", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "distance_km": 5186.830078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121, "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 93.41045201445243, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121, "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 14950741.473196838, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 28679127.45195272, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.82411456560631, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 5874082.641465867, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.51791716359938, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 9617.54166229102, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.83627159763809, "cagr_3y_pct": -91.3675557651365 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 2912.2616787281063, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.71927150420714, "cagr_3y_pct": -95.33460785468212 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1769.9838692828782, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.223048457105115, "cagr_3y_pct": -93.29585983826868 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 156498.27317812797, "yoy_growth_pct": 8741.790927819833, "cagr_3y_pct": 153.40498718548238 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 424692.0353981238, "yoy_growth_pct": 171.37170703138355, "cagr_3y_pct": 426.35801479958195 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 814840.2487633054, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.86614790160606, "cagr_3y_pct": 672.1488958398874 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 200612.36951876912, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.38015950694123, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.629901543111496 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 331973.88874741114, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.48026901020773, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.882260998902202 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 5401.555800713209, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.37289739229368, "cagr_3y_pct": -81.21481550557574 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 280211.9756791202, "yoy_growth_pct": 5087.616050215045, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.783146016009693 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 894116.8882540164, "yoy_growth_pct": 219.0858942010025, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.13299183940096 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 795310.5629472577, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.050716813961813, "cagr_3y_pct": 428.04705870958435 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 299895.4570215094, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.292031441131826, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.288717057641776 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 672145.9545842258, "yoy_growth_pct": 124.12675445630956, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.073648768924247 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 2391153.954952321, "yoy_growth_pct": 255.7492146823132, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.33010564859483 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1221504.236220541, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.91570098651814, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.70126768829627 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 1262214.4779837525, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.332795790309584, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.373870423216836 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 4949247.370997354, "yoy_growth_pct": 292.1082714011669, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.441402024257155 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 5470508.015924444, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.532119448740485, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.83302434016132 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 7271094.47119495, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.91442860569924, "cagr_3y_pct": 79.26226383490638 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 6861471.228714862, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.6335843813176245, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.504577171817365 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 10854196.328245746, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.190509971411956, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.657959942564922 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 44102685.43161056, "yoy_growth_pct": 306.3192160698501, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.37070729053411 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "export_value_usd": 11873879.992289016, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.07674152699458, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.058193108846154 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "340211", "hs_description": "Organic surface-active agents: anionic (other than soap), whether or not put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11426091.046688668, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4708412152711529, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "250300", "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43093144.16734773, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.33769450028167, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.377586484231651, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89158339.17676443, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.3389043834549, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6246760132209717, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "390110", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29738473.401605833, "current_below_peak_pct": 76.05137371835637, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6731433492718908, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310590", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 49367833.72487266, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.36900789184058, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.018681063775836, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "hs_code": "310520", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18261127.455780275, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.96870068997886, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2021646562081285, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ZMB", "distance_km": 5156, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "importer_population": 18920.656, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 179570.783551, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 61275.998268910276, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ZMB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ZMB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ZMB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ZMB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }