{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.238Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Qatar exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Qatar to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "QAT",
    "country_name": "Qatar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SAU",
    "country_name": "Saudi Arabia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
    "importer_iso3": "SAU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 307,
    "current_lane_count": 201,
    "current_product_count": 201,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 678165717.3433851,
    "attention_trade_usd": 285271347.5567041,
    "critical_trade_usd": 41424821.29582067,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 578635465.1970522,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 107120467.32606283,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 323196349.4067073,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 28,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 166,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 75,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 93,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5125396273699723,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.354319161202557,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 844.8547803911663,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 19.51294540833914,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 41.904522035417116,
    "top_product_hs6": "271012",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 132330106.20328625,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "890400",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 485.6007385253906,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.7920999526977539,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.422037818795959,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.920948249898988,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586,
    "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.065138396292404,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.108362637099431,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586,
    "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 62256685.32842199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 72116687.23354623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.837659607333542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 70321901.83712408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.488724129284847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 75453433.86464107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.297203137938979,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.61811623092905
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 57738143.2465435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.478441882284294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.144204495058881
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 117907131.41085261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.21011965588475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.800013121914528
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 173449501.22105265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.10687907134319,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.976928065108858
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 233635716.11481053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.699560661782236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.352472727172746
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 289089454.7536704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.735129012385016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.84372012709607
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 253203891.31593657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.41330766226374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.439883933348739
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 173640613.1423508,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.42261272529585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.418948314093134
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 240157682.35016108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.307322235311105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.994179455256987
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 276470512.9488401,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.12041182415027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9736596047307717
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 202725152.44891584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.673861061476224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.297673311145479
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 235966561.7183392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.397279206782088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5851350456064996
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 722859942.8396188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 206.33999053749764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.76379999252091
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 664969152.2181003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.008576377064891,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.58145985036047
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 1017506283.7090926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.01556174674478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.765445723001534
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 896451057.6239756,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.897246043910126,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.437891096666971
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 868199397.0603871,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1515006115859667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.2964342867778
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 620301916.3343048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.553058383296705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.207909832210287
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 481468064.83539385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.381657680400913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.714396570899574
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 210241935.57890278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.333150434228465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.66959404583674
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 132593200.37158428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.9330385936146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.20850991234044
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 428573815.85339075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 223.2245806363667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8049519553234434
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 446955562.2416876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.289050265867145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.5824411741048
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "export_value_usd": 715212303.3160932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.01866040753016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 75.37643643486922
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "271012",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10459940913.55807,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.342235465248955,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.773872988327211,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2526144205.718716,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5345942133560808,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "890400",
      "hs_description": "Tugs and pusher craft",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61966659.308612704,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6716315613980917,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "720711",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 329861974.9620584,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.128249857412966,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9479672913386021,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69653751.95776862,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.28550579442154,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4122436625425128,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "281512",
      "hs_description": "Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda): in aqueous solution (soda lye or liquid soda)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55621777.955628544,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.73208135999923,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0335376213228626,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "848110",
      "hs_description": "Valves: pressure reducing, for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 110174280.13176195,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.0583785138659807,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5991754749650133,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "890120",
      "hs_description": "Tankers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47439050.44733003,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.64600740328408,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2152758969488875,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "700319",
      "hs_description": "Glass: cast glass and rolled glass, non-wired sheets, (excluding those coloured throughout the mass (body tinted) opacified, flashed or having an absorbent or reflecting layer)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20864418.467287622,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9989842861128726,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4517777178.76322,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.1566817328813,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2853729184194402,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
    "importer_iso3": "SAU",
    "distance_km": 481,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085,
    "importer_population": 35340.679,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 179570.783551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 61275.998268910276,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.422037818795959,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.920948249898988,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.920948249898988
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-SAU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-SAU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-SAU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-SAU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-SAU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}