{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.256Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Qatar exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Qatar to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "QAT",
    "country_name": "Qatar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 24,
    "current_lane_count": 8,
    "current_product_count": 8,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 40822146.047251016,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3043369.618929681,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3920733.7271613562,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4562374.240174333,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 6642903.447525292,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8541325714299325,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 43.29171744584902,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3471.157825946769,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 44.683512370675224,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 89.03316368609003,
    "top_product_hs6": "310210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 18240768.678998515,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "271119",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3637.5009765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.03732158787878,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 23.39544610454546,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": -1.4180756382828368,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815,
    "buyer_population_latest": 22156,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 7.455192618749212,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815,
    "buyer_population_2024": 22156
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 8066636.488525267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 8081502.685597764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18429238870059095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 8738025.601672148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.123772788498718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 8904599.449772803,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9063099113463267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3492431893813013
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 9954970.859065188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.795829955261873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.19699812464476
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 12129919.389280627,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.84786435848669,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.553071841038465
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 10673439.484986527,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.007333746844273,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.225797715844639
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 24126909.90247094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 126.0462518798025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.3240887829122
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 19644138.684410598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.579964181825215,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.43341548181685
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 12518977.62663299,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.27118079466659,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.460094718160846
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 21094128.68462326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.49721529773656,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.378996695353543
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 45604462.2974405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 116.19505114086199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.41121866325789
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 48962870.10879025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.364208768531477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 57.55517340830876
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 42933737.54706831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.313682895479472,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.7298834164162
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 42686877.98987007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.574978027309192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1796938400293953
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 49209432.58340053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.279999148867972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.1675757951834278
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 251245436.82980937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 410.5635721444189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.20485825175258
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 103624610.14710061,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.755624995770695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.39697867793063
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 81994454.37481292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.87357022775048,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.55286149700777
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 74668308.33211765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.934928707746504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.266171158162486
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 32722454.607648328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.17624754252915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.903050932136967
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 30223439.688997533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.637003240174689,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.299893125782173
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 66932583.692490906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 121.45918658244872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5800076888802157
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 64759101.99470613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2472699810460415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.550461845261594
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 33798841.1980454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.808354104712016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7972801854482485
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 26837694.733957652,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.59581399048177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.260100790444806
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 121681435.9769862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 353.3974962574675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.397919108613884
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 26755199.339666087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.01209434713908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.4942361798907235
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 38769084.449018344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.902992337422056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.04380800824456
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "export_value_usd": 41702794.81182175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.567138622170089,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.018978367770345
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85428281.96648732,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.54426201765131,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9338609409409184,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54840887.4297774,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.43528699918349,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6885638836196442,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "271119",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 255436866.33043104,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.75325957166606,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2972923426191922,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "721720",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: wire, plated or coated with zinc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19067506.180835504,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.581576387103328,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33712066.12722115,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.87944283025307,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.495092255895879,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15600096.04591192,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.252942573376465,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.73631352079003,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "871160",
      "hs_description": "Motorcycles (including mopeds) and cycles: fitted with auxiliary motor, with electric motor for propulsion, with or without side-cars: side-cars",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12327313.37184462,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7792113169816115,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "LKA",
      "hs_code": "480524",
      "hs_description": "Paper & paperboard: uncoated, testliner (recycled linerboard), weight 150g/m2, or less, in rolls or sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18055616.262871157,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.7781629585783,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7698445784963633,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
    "importer_iso3": "LKA",
    "distance_km": 3641,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "importer_population": 22156,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 179570.783551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 61275.998268910276,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 22.03732158787878,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 23.39544610454546,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": -1.4180756382828368
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-LKA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-LKA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-LKA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-LKA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-LKA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}