{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.256Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Qatar exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Qatar to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "QAT",
    "country_name": "Qatar"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2018,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2466980.1175241293,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2247107.2322493037,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 219872.88527482556,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2466980.1175241293,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 2466980.1175241293,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 2,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7158634284668479,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 50.037454046884626,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8376.343445878218,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 91.08736695067121,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "390110",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2247107.2322493037,
    "top_product_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "390110",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 13980.6162109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026,
    "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.08736695067121,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026,
    "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 163.07739905027145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 363.79725928412097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 123.08257392060446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 42193.67986563904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11498.130219196159,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 355943.87786781864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 743.5952469689331,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1197.1670760670022
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 576088.2995495157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.84807082521271,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1065.5830160116334
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 303725.1605403277,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.278019571334475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.08318567190288
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1236306.03009722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 307.04761762174365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.44263355499883
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 988786.4444205639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.02089932839621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.73041368741559
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1703835.327825671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.3158056463983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.68425655384972
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1694615.2155901468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5411386936841067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.083197250701682
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 2320658.3501282926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.94308470611289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.893243506100035
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 747861.9897318985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.7737143129856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.002737768835726
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1517744.5236137921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.94446628553607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6076597585716907
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 4824035.253881557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 217.84237589573996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.624216337975582
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 3766150.029047703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.929467119516787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.40574944794014
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 2844829.2092073546,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.463200157570743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.29699951134332
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 2520874.8888254636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.387478704640873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.453450659763426
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "390110",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115164591.48213746,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.82945137428342,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7411710089977324,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 111680152.16767685,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.38327621948092,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4572192251554659,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "QAT",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "distance_km": 13976,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "importer_population": 17109.747,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 179570.783551,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 61275.998268910276,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-GTM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-GTM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-GTM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-GTM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-GTM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}