{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.234Z", "seo": { "title": "Qatar exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Qatar to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "QAT", "country_name": "Qatar" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 477, "current_lane_count": 357, "current_product_count": 357, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3820588274.45685, "attention_trade_usd": 3416162709.3589067, "critical_trade_usd": 247829058.0346652, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1290385314.9328554, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 649592973.6449422, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3338339084.979476, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 5, "high_attention_lane_count": 42, "high_volatility_lane_count": 300, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 233, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 165, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1412563188683649, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 38.89439148655277, "product_concentration_hhi": 3311.482654107045, "top1_product_share_pct": 56.29259546509214, "top3_product_share_pct": 69.18114475813798, "top_product_hs6": "271111", "top_product_trade_usd": 2150708301.726739, "top_product_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271111", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 303.943603515625, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6941999793052673, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.7505161723872713, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.214629114545451, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285, "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.4145734623698, "critical_trade_share_pct": 6.4866727381111895, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285, "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083 }, "history": [ { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 128960174.3726627, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 404887899.8939684, "yoy_growth_pct": 213.96351770116527, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 190782692.58902457, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.88011999395721, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 390564643.9477201, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.71702052610024, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.68131190962139 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 353022230.85040295, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.612342970384812, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.4664860689356605 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 601469835.6685606, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.37732559212115, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.63071738616746 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 934954516.9360366, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.44495525644986, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.77219483146139 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1212093780.9081984, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.64200492665483, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.86137300558309 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1275280270.2205644, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.213003342449429, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.468680337562713 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2595157745.747022, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.49705130294065, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.53713393371974 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2594916180.639966, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.009308301487720438, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.883019929298225 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4286822300.2233944, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.20080040374042, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.799356180522246 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3719094735.3025374, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.243552570193351, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.74340836350152 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4349959319.0715, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.962853292782377, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.792025403177128 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4877307551.767087, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.123061252171663, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.39544589703833 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 7277108807.39264, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.20340229018541, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.0759688922934 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4728506385.623884, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.0221837988693, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8204723866647408 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4172598467.7334533, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.756522515874401, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.068833513069371 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1884291827.0387843, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.84128555359587, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.26229350986069 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 1068780387.1170274, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.27946596273016, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.08538571513691 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 2527274698.6768885, "yoy_growth_pct": 136.463424024281, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.391248788907852 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3254307825.159238, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.7674753703258, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.97851677155125 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 5104117947.101208, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.841891465858986, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.40077092676593 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 6659953145.610086, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.4819601473451, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.125196254224726 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 4620458635.596704, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.623256131429656, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.393747519251285 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 3869271147.9229493, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.25785548400961, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.819321177283202 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2181374619.505038, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.155575626969224, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8797635950116535, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "890120", "hs_description": "Tankers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 441132446.71095836, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.084929006181238, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.658127031758697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "720711", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 478991958.93257964, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6256846445022153, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14117604327.847712, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.7383085195389, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9274862539421995, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "890400", "hs_description": "Tugs and pusher craft", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 632929928.9361671, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.33943253649862, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4233972400566024, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "270900", "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 838171644.6168916, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.42785910123007, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6244241500269176, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "721420", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 513761237.6731596, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6643088327832762, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "290129", "hs_description": "Acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, n.e.s. in heading no. 2901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115541676.51485416, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2045549084574283, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "290919", "hs_description": "Ethers: acyclic, and their halogenated, sulphonated, nitrated or nitrosated derivatives, other than diethyl ether", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 416582579.1825341, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.18515284640927, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6795408404795671, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "281512", "hs_description": "Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda): in aqueous solution (soda lye or liquid soda)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67298469.72494121, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.1079903181437, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6500246001750587, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "QAT", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 391, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 179570.783551, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 61275.998268910276, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.7505161723872713, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.214629114545451, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.214629114545451 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/QAT-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }