{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.125Z", "seo": { "title": "Paraguay exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Paraguay to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PRY", "country_name": "Paraguay" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 48, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 20125278.54990839, "attention_trade_usd": 2910089.831571549, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 17803326.303163834, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2981518.042165925, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4185001.094311042, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0112476544370723, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.862404555654441, "product_concentration_hhi": 6039.041419927334, "top1_product_share_pct": 76.8835724751352, "top3_product_share_pct": 91.34344603343085, "top_product_hs6": "120740", "top_product_trade_usd": 15473033.119741654, "top_product_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "top_attention_product_hs6": "560122", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6699.548828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6930000185966492, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.052642106424242, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.210265684828281, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.39003073557576, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 14.45987355829565, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2205046.2124706046, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 12622189.130122118, "yoy_growth_pct": 472.4228843249417, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 6744442.478657655, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.566776894806324, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1454634.3660958617, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.43210360679987, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.948007493516522 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2412162.644222699, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.82604539288985, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.3998030939491 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 970078.0296689726, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.78388803954084, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.60535872708515 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1756461.2925679823, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.06391845276133, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.486588378333535 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1469868.9560498516, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.316461838969808, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.22053401052289 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 3285686.135302584, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.53599086360649, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.178052730284236 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 26929327.697303437, "yoy_growth_pct": 719.5952561617231, "cagr_3y_pct": 148.4251967942063 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 7486214.685998147, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.2005139892602, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.05259208839958 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 7743094.441599237, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.431370410489887, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.07490364605914 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 8328755.992178809, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.563662757787726, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.37329787699774 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 9816725.827642098, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.865451177349655, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.454795717019548 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 8723676.981090786, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.1345561212832, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.054693255818731 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 64268250.540724605, "yoy_growth_pct": 636.7105714715342, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.60842032504911 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 95842555.34857267, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.128931536483165, "cagr_3y_pct": 113.72922331147892 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 97816168.29114228, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.0592240423804586, "cagr_3y_pct": 123.82247307069574 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 278302744.6797453, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.51609743227587, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.99477038022767 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 147467778.91741702, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.011741085372904, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.446184740640634 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 111403209.8936989, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.45589761266732, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.430899646299569 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 119836793.11527318, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.570323359283471, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.48656438243858 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 71232070.44962482, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.55909825532012, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.537981554183027 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 28140743.730806004, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.49427799419773, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.78609459046221 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 13123943.200878337, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.36319705540902, "cagr_3y_pct": -52.156304112746945 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 58559458.772583686, "yoy_growth_pct": 346.2032323384676, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.32137762404118 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 17395397.494993124, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.29447016826379, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.814385234171946 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 40972511.44673175, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.53650589775125, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.1535653930373 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 29851625.788837116, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.142308990145423, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.1165195891751 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 24995594.765149783, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.26722463304905, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.843454463715599 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "120740", "hs_description": "Oil seeds: sesamum seeds, whether or not broken", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70686010.36254553, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.001689276878719, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "560122", "hs_description": "Wadding: other articles thereof, of man-made fibres", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19248318.75594675, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7484461945695511, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "100610", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice in the husk (paddy or rough)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 380195414.70763904, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.37874858955381, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0521269020787163, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "100630", "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 235630252.25537568, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.03856334147787, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7284709923596988, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "240220", "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48131163.982015654, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.61167943809929, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8569657239515625, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "330129", "hs_description": "Oils, essential: n.e.s. in heading no. 3301 (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42328144.42165023, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.83016263789212, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9172339232368288, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "300420", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 183344654.6551989, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.60280242326931, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2480006312054892, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "940429", "hs_description": "Mattresses: of other materials, not cellular rubber or plastics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15210399.604712803, "current_below_peak_pct": 64.62509816021887, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5401511870708998, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "330112", "hs_description": "Oils, essential: of orange (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20292781.322791945, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.33465465625164, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.296335341147411, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "441875", "hs_description": "Wood: assembled flooring panels, not of bamboo or with at least the top layer (wear layer) of bamboo, multilayer", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11085062.218401754, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.103386506564625, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.791642092489465, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRY", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 6684, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.052642106424242, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.210265684828281, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.39003073557576 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }