{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:24.663Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Paraguay exports to Armenia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Paraguay to Armenia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PRY",
    "country_name": "Paraguay"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ARM",
    "country_name": "Armenia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
    "importer_iso3": "ARM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 57394.696159024425,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 57394.696159024425,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 57394.696159024425,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 57394.696159024425,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6179970123553895,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.64874651240491,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "020230",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 57394.696159024425,
    "top_product_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 12787.0927734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.438762411226052,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.516500222720307,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.320322543103448,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": -2.8038223203831416,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13861.183874,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4670,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2968.128,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.766456496846002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 13.22885175771702,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.47479483434074155,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.128000000000004,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.422,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13861.183874,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4670,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2968.128
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 52491.03194679813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 234706.47576359,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 347.1363336912006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 620.5703493682496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.73559726149468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 170946.58648106674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27446.689372944267,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.226245203293395
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 102292.04475595106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.16139961514794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.18201072930265
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 71720.30139878126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.886726216205805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 387.0987647426838
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 182566.97151999993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 154.5541052663539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2164027007690823
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 3476.09467767573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.09598929711395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -67.60958004019169
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 2758.246059466204,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.65100881226605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.24560718691106
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 170583.40968837985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6084.488476035108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2376738630781046
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 715135.2122455885,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 319.2290525508845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 490.3354386434141
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 509962.9391828624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.689997296940096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 469.68554903871984
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 166812.19435558026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.28934957060385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.74242327422952
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 198949.3475002448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.26546993090945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.719302581836644
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 77118.21614879619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.237261082898854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.72303787429223
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 2.0884794957086084,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99729184672572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -97.67797188702735
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 52245.949172143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2501526.148568735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.962156052561234
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 715788.4668859101,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1270.0362960724258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 110.15637747868352
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 628701.886185947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.16652471069276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6602.006568814167
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 129701.78268439366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.36990717950023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.40387937386795
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "export_value_usd": 168122.31237245482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.622206335861033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.30070247992021
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
      "importer_iso3": "ARM",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11303185.306690361,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.64874651240491,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6179970123553894,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PRY",
    "importer_iso3": "ARM",
    "distance_km": 12771,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13861.183874,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4670.008798138086,
    "importer_population": 2968.128,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 38986.810989,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5400.103826353693,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.438762411226052,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.516500222720307,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.320322543103448,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": -2.8038223203831416
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-ARM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-ARM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-ARM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-ARM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRY-ARM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}