{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.019Z", "seo": { "title": "Portugal exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "all_history_lane_count": 20, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 2020, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3904123.4005769053, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2270840.342115594, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 336078.8255828502, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 855867.3391504721, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.552187225453984, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.593352298079691, "product_concentration_hhi": 2490.6407264301256, "top1_product_share_pct": 43.728081547624384, "top3_product_share_pct": 73.82019520579554, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 1707198.2643241554, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 6024.95068359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.025599999353289604, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858, "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858, "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 375551.3855841275, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1540434.970315469, "yoy_growth_pct": 310.17954651385384, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 250049.40703676938, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.76761032725963, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 449012.77881371503, "yoy_growth_pct": 79.56962351351964, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.136096458645146 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 148422.64376858954, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.94467267485796, "cagr_3y_pct": -54.155673384597705 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 421967.17034166306, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.30107403258864, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.055906149263446 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 230378.10381931692, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.40378493597457, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.943948511911547 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 208088.29875855555, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.675314055993367, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.922095335154737 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 183713.63863421555, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.713614013742246, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.20842854352002 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 238005.97699823254, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.5526988456835, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0917127642279478 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 245375.13240897583, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.096206029648574, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.647922769213776 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 577212.2982967171, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.2366731827804, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.46416914240812 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 602819.5533438242, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.43636684850115, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.311706801784325 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 788401.5033902472, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.785655345286123, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.561240971436746 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 257314.04802651404, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.36256248624284, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.608921684962446 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 309252.2656713967, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.184757903124996, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.947447072286252 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 280747.2664557354, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.217393817237207, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.12016505800348 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1680305.0549241758, "yoy_growth_pct": 498.51163508625103, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.91387691555595 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2178503.753426327, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.6493007053789, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.69692251878317 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2237094.801852076, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6895087205426105, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.73597049462677 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2111676.8375063906, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.606287415350142, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.914492861127065 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2386489.7899739435, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.013968216465855, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0861743439347222 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 4583783.901285779, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.07221922939071, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.012534431108094 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 4734215.9756737435, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2818317274025066, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.880075478422377 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 5526932.309984181, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.744405797786264, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.304572852675165 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 8712221.834996516, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.632142866273895, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.87060631946969 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 5567901.029269423, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.09091762444029, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.5555679357695675 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 4373263.8879728755, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.455789803312985, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.507359185041606 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 8274361.598754646, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.20334584680263, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7041482332569635 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 7158684.990804874, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.48353700323769, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.737809942463803 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 786522985.5502865, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.408206607389883, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20061389.144355282, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6195963882601477, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30835825.747179803, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9990076483745559, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "480411", "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: kraftliner, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11688602.607233757, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.99899175557049, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3445176666533052, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "270799", "hs_description": "Oils and other products of the distillation of high temperature coal tar: n.e.s. in heading no. 2707", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46090782.63464004, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12987664.855886, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.5805048677224582, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "842230", "hs_description": "Machinery: for filling, closing, sealing, capsuling or labelling bottles, cans, bags or other containers, machinery for aerating beverages", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15782492.18345105, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23897859.618436746, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7304773793240051, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "841950", "hs_description": "Heat exchange units: not used for domestic purposes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10848018.378906239, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "940690", "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25549107.01281843, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7674447458549588, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "distance_km": 6012, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "importer_population": 47123.531, "importer_biz_entry_days": 24, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.473153908888893, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-UGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-UGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-UGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-UGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-UGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }