{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.249Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Portugal exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 817,
    "current_lane_count": 672,
    "current_product_count": 672,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1133500350.1363587,
    "attention_trade_usd": 157449829.76507795,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 607019095.5177084,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 159120064.9111657,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 153974097.2346859,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 51,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 418,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 233,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 164,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.176837818465539,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.601671348014836,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 335.8753924292808,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 14.866822882870082,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 25.635839836270797,
    "top_product_hs6": "870322",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 168515489.43148467,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "150910",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 2760.44140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10541007667779922,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.18347235538788,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.415188815959596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.8074541990101,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.607734616949495,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 13.890585013594123,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 19852905.178385664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 36951199.77473458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.1248993168226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 55640860.417756945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.57930664487229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 92645303.83618991,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 66.50587920567735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.10897698936495
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 107947219.5017538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.516666287392034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.95333953778078
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 117740208.91051683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.072016355737556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.38382823311725
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 123027115.76483156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.490315503289799,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.915551726072191
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 156294049.67598552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.040326601449614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.129793560952008
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 197032658.13214067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.065361119384068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.723804407336097
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 502531069.9953813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 155.0496322586061,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.85296342568016
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 234916374.8520846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.25336304992173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.548730929535235
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 327127603.0864225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.25278869657289,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.411257082852917
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 373809019.41808933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.270093960653707,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.3928884156536
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 475921897.8971225,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.316857853775932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.534066611366725
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 381712379.3613524,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.79516365017835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.278499010865789
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 425868137.4715037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.56780877372352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.441986629505967
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 536962265.370934,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.086508504493146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.104465746102526
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 494817176.7839129,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.848798938954726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.035898679802301
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 564401625.964905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.062658380870996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.842658619004109
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 629432809.2605888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.522146695539014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.439143623254772
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 554975222.7017149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.829314497657217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.898579284661574
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 573753415.8268898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.383609277862787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5492902310622272
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 682113301.5151092,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.886142147328556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7154359891640834
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 952629625.3095891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.6585615899308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.733817576648892
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 864446891.3591241,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.256770061271935,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.640396005070567
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 809103163.957551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.402212554036613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.856076641651864
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1030518756.8879982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.365557668498198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6543299423644307
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1105425922.302806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.268879378868887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.541822450310367
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1133391695.3047273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.529864049475483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.89019795973869
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1210789856.057844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.828897818269897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.5206904570944015
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2730540475.5438857,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5633179175632095,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "470329",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 379394075.0042991,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.146686280898685,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9119914001641832,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 314388056.6153766,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.049558034872507,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1238779771.5550914,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.331776284262428,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7113815654648958,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "848071",
      "hs_description": "Moulds: for rubber or plastics, injection or compression types",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 258171868.47486,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.19773785061239,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.835411306914869,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5932968163.308607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.804346635003602,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 775390523.4711822,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.966484151562234,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8679744056351425,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2390435592.2446656,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.077656368480255,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.730967223864063,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "150910",
      "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: olive oil and its fractions, virgin, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 105240257.70553035,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.299327421988278,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "840991",
      "hs_description": "Engines: parts, suitable for use solely or principally with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines (for other than aircraft)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1270619696.7533693,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.084622225716307,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8199853084374982,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 2765,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.18347235538788,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.415188815959596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.8074541990101,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.607734616949495
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}