{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.087Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Portugal exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 134,
    "current_lane_count": 58,
    "current_product_count": 58,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 26992303.096084464,
    "attention_trade_usd": 7245297.442304551,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 13820905.584840888,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6231823.662726775,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 9471015.302678745,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 26992303.096084464,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 40,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 23,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 36,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1677395486129738,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.64441111396523,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1127.3016987964984,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 30.08623931940792,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 42.58590184033185,
    "top_product_hs6": "110710",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 8120968.907307926,
    "top_product_description": "Malt: not roasted",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "732690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3810.185546875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.1695999801158905,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085,
    "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 26.842086859033387,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085,
    "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 11803616.07918278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 13337446.576431345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.994581380477776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8975506.374930063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.70446240593971,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 3121542.2455711924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.22154722891035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.81236409027028
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 6081114.348336506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.81121413507441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.033189047792966
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 10992273.234250456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.76083764577461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.989917291467163
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 14085230.41338398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.13755729339298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.24623744203564
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 18507385.11097764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.395685890886572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.91743239482675
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 23349421.244327236,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.162724254749236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.54727313203236
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 18614637.5805172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.27794870915851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.739643016991728
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 46124740.34421028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 147.7874744791498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.58020641129731
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 16572331.446652124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.07062387131177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.799114955427491
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 41022115.30938188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 147.53376096438745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.133113907268005
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 112300705.15995362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 173.75649527821918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.5290833379974
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 55952044.032546714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.17658709012347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.01825703845881
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 103441800.41552986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.87582036387957,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.11082716940079
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 132167849.61363867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.770252531099725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.579867728993593
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 88184918.60293517,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.27808626627213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.374935659288823
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 89410642.33177209,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3899471114283246,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.74282127485518
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 51256552.52866553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.672872946745954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.075321550375175
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 63105443.649741694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.116831968848484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.554704748512666
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 77258230.40514337,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.427204274095303,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.752881215871874
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 25495155.93952637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.0000777835198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.767609332519342
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 30039764.148858804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.825379143050093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.919383913824408
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 78098154.88140395,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.98258339977966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.36108297033388137
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 47610517.24860416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.03759016982774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.144515872231054
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 58430075.79697036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.725143883378827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.828373107000523
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 33532125.27964182,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.61153212233128,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.55911597907422
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 56899163.459402986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.6855268936618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.120916944569532
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 38930374.27416805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.58005863839368,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.659157584017377
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "110710",
      "hs_description": "Malt: not roasted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101344474.55905816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.609357201792148,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5568238278342577,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82416656.27528752,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1721524219964405,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "230990",
      "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31157708.158827543,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.3079819735581,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4313545581417657,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "040410",
      "hs_description": "Dairy produce: whey, whether or not concentrated or containing added sugar or other sweetening matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16249656.134967797,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7134597338176907,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 363544610.5011937,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.0998287084939,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1139403772846737,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "190110",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 43835016.92384758,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.66560152494935,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7049978917983108,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22638659.381322455,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.301178006694318,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9267561373140617,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "350691",
      "hs_description": "Adhesives: prepared, based on polymers of heading 3901 to 3913 or on rubber",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28662766.78887453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1352244634799908,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "852580",
      "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44920206.11233252,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.949053325545232,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102108478.7007143,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2326237929814052,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "distance_km": 3790,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "importer_population": 211400.711,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 27.203475916565655,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-NGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-NGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-NGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-NGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-NGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}