{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.217Z", "seo": { "title": "Portugal exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "all_history_lane_count": 40, "current_lane_count": 33, "current_product_count": 33, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 39723771.50375003, "attention_trade_usd": 26725400.086888995, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 20242049.47794765, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1126647.4809631382, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 27403267.302321605, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 20, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2957142793087897, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.004136144015366, "product_concentration_hhi": 2196.994926293231, "top1_product_share_pct": 36.05352700051478, "top3_product_share_pct": 71.83149283035922, "top_product_hs6": "590310", "top_product_trade_usd": 14321820.684727313, "top_product_description": "Textile fabrics: impregnated, coated, covered or laminated with poly(vinyl chloride)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "590310", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2606.12939453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.9676605803412714, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7134064584404762, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.800793712194444, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721, "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.27810345089222, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721, "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 11204.168353842466, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 47132.700025513455, "yoy_growth_pct": 320.6711157579965, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 86643.12901740635, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.82806198351771, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 172160.68649128012, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.70091078623622, "cagr_3y_pct": 148.6097288785187 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 185882.0544664087, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.970093669336964, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.993194954922565 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 782073.8180255919, "yoy_growth_pct": 320.73659034520875, "cagr_3y_pct": 108.21141694365113 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 967432.1264980999, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.700871222164153, "cagr_3y_pct": 77.78515984259724 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 264887.2484610841, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.61955219329752, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.531609221018037 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 478600.85718035797, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.6809727387355, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.09982703138868 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2466348.1779504274, "yoy_growth_pct": 415.3246470306672, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.608574775981005 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1819195.020533952, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.239326758571025, "cagr_3y_pct": 90.08130378351775 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2647100.686955195, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.50945099763104, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.84752907873391 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 3667780.7529381285, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.55841491080425, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.143099177827455 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4848464.843940839, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.190694333539604, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.64631485970149 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 9910728.090796161, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.4096102538862, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.27863336999028 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4404463.767920848, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.55862568753995, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.29101596085766 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 5347213.04672403, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.404405359615698, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.317624521167306 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 4834965.137682758, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.57971759429148, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.27803454044608 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 6449325.537717346, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.38928728673933, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.55521548907619 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 6880537.396082097, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.686154324865612, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.767285646052937 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 10239272.939118432, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.81501763145506, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.41780949220205 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 18989746.099119693, "yoy_growth_pct": 85.45990728082545, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.32929114451849 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 20659344.52735929, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.792105063042378, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.26624440437721 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 31658863.619937766, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.24234308601492, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.68295234296129 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 32137185.2409091, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5108616238205697, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.16888960172185 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 29569887.501436397, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.988558177163119, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.69665990946336 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 30736653.2153857, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9457901687743213, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9805708205509078 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 40508056.679311655, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.790720334622268, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.021745572124427 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 41917142.54943153, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4785323849897853, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.334717919571236 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 53410177.48900317, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.418459943967477, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.22343931762769 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "590310", "hs_description": "Textile fabrics: impregnated, coated, covered or laminated with poly(vinyl chloride)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23946549.16799746, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.132682592107077, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6983789669760341, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "590390", "hs_description": "Textile fabrics: impregnated, coated, covered or laminated with plastics, (excluding polyvinyl chloride, polyurethane and those of heading no. 5902)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51253629.45791945, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4791184086885947, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 192116636.86169383, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.051940760046682, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "853890", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68634815.77155025, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.947253537241771, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9264885137666156, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 779494589.2363048, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.013664560850447, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6128221771524766, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22609774.45458851, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 4.5979443329140866, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854720", "hs_description": "Insulating fittings: of plastics, for electrical machines, of insulating material only (except minor assembly parts), excluding those of heading no. 8546", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62042622.182086915, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.9540587277291, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4587685465399336, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "401699", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), articles n.e.s. in heading no. 4016, of non-cellular rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13595902.540270422, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.850223393293758, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7563273740456944, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "854370", "hs_description": "Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14457170.26190241, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8276151727205163, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74630425.49195842, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.209140734765214, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8470932226060603, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "distance_km": 2608, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "importer_population": 2065.092, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.9676605803412714, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.51420017063492, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.7134064584404762, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.800793712194444 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MKD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MKD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MKD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MKD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MKD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }