{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.020Z", "seo": { "title": "Portugal exports to Republic of Moldova: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Republic of Moldova, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "all_history_lane_count": 30, "current_lane_count": 22, "current_product_count": 22, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3723109.156785115, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2650739.714811587, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 534794.07159871, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 363178.0137407984, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 14, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.712503049885227, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 33.87699060657207, "product_concentration_hhi": 1696.761561558182, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.22395529965658, "top3_product_share_pct": 55.62120473712015, "top_product_hs6": "300490", "top_product_trade_usd": 1385888.4882791124, "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3195.94921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.6042175669846745, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.802888979693486, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.0096393165517255, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13679.221333000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5315, "buyer_population_latest": 2573.928, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.170672417488102, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.45369402374179, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -2.048403712637259, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.576, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.6899999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13679.221333000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5315, "buyer_population_2024": 2573.928 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 932267.7100547604, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 3367290.5944842435, "yoy_growth_pct": 261.1935239381457, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 4340213.284538787, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.893339103201534, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 4062030.90880357, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4094171760219805, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.33058859613301 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 631616.4051777475, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.45072380397559, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.75675196032553 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 2053174.452271699, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.06667582421346, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.08191686304778 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 2952536.5801026276, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.80349301715911, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.088062894095017 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 3148622.7523409165, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.641278335371981, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.8266965655695 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 5327811.5189132, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.21085623713145, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.417169976254016 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 7356797.713225191, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.082919921421635, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.570285053893855 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 6745316.686689139, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.311782522398337, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.91216582362164 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 2611642.7753061927, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.282132528189905, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.152431174379828 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 4053145.936468914, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.19526540124606, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.021278276591623 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 5863532.728031123, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.66621286129686, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.56251127107965 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 3079510.9260937823, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.48028076364415, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.646713658689095 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 4582173.250707912, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.795486058566695, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.174099462659409 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 7432250.058345994, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.199237167598696, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.223187193733672 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 7038485.855693777, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.298048364371732, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.72427925773715 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 6572201.167583745, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.624786888402023, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.775072293067801 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 5804822.7944509, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.6761242324384, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.907792270302217 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 6356112.626654666, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.497100113560219, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3420795451109098 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 9883722.392776638, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.49948487899301, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.569731904617012 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 10794747.942201503, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.217433606701398, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.972455911332833 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 17157967.596606776, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.94736670532712, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.23809936368858 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 17041877.81917219, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6765939892411588, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.912825455411685 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 17701112.83236604, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.868323785611305, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.92232178631359 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 23338259.8211935, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.84628583644795, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.798583715247467 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 23365150.057026032, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.11521954095357057, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.092236250484433 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 24956310.233444404, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.809971999045228, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.131234051464146 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 17417393.351940267, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.208459547842526, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.2935375406759 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 211055220.69338828, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.52409183419902, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1924321375646922, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "401110", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26880514.43681411, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9066087993773155, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "841850", "hs_description": "Furniture incorporating refrigerating or freezing equipment: for storage and display, n.e.c. in item no. 8418.1, 8418.2, 8418.3 or 8418.4 (chests, cabinets, display counters, show-cases and the like)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14524863.615073388, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.137786152809534, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "870210", "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19457564.464680817, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.804122250895844, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9897685021143257, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "230910", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: put up for retail sale, used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19816771.223278306, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3869384732626459, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127367836.88193725, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.11154911959912, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0188959366980022, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "401699", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), articles n.e.s. in heading no. 4016, of non-cellular rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11629760.525821084, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.50822270848819, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.601164645968638, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "854720", "hs_description": "Insulating fittings: of plastics, for electrical machines, of insulating material only (except minor assembly parts), excluding those of heading no. 8546", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21206433.613006976, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.09223915191389, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9616641444991794, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39119304.38468586, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.11954047145581, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6939627718907888, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35727710.245701954, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.690640080516979, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "distance_km": 3204, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "importer_population": 2573.928, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.6042175669846745, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.802888979693486, "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.0096393165517255 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MDA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MDA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MDA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MDA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MDA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }