{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.225Z", "seo": { "title": "Portugal exports to Morocco: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Morocco, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MAR", "country_name": "Morocco" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "all_history_lane_count": 586, "current_lane_count": 534, "current_product_count": 534, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1288324350.826338, "attention_trade_usd": 544173748.1129024, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1000064660.9495627, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 336674497.4148036, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 359856920.7481596, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 59, "high_volatility_lane_count": 347, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 218, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 227, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3837315549342966, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 24.82056725899741, "product_concentration_hhi": 292.84784712406724, "top1_product_share_pct": 11.768298876126543, "top3_product_share_pct": 23.07801932509992, "top_product_hs6": "271019", "top_product_trade_usd": 151613860.09916052, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "271019", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 561.6361694335938, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.09743183851242065, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 47.68519003587878, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 48.069846848484836, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.1137358973000002, "tariff_advantage_pp": 46.95611095118484, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 132725.261467, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3554, "buyer_population_latest": 37344.788, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.493870310126513, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4337131700827195, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0122871045357362, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.041999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.788, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.238877792216414, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 132725.261467, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3554, "buyer_population_2024": 37344.788 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 74406314.41812664, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 92818742.11942166, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.745786490413014, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 80736279.09710291, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.017266498584213, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 82631157.41113856, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.346997329114764, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.556655122432839 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 83637831.01115471, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2182736289259033, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.412180678611143 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 88187459.47994082, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.439677731694559, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9862790496752334 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 81965135.09305735, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.055792766429336, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.2693978945710995 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 103908036.03822456, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.771017848326384, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.501731213774598 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 155284516.15359607, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.44418360142202, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.755551914919025 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 226212411.17107123, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.676089783039586, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.26923333395666 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 194289594.22902396, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.11187687571479, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.197000747129735 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 245996437.0274016, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.613284671039473, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.573603428450134 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 327885679.35422397, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.28879203144748, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.17104863052927 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 449899782.62807053, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.21239168302661, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.29865043754296 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 354253685.3058565, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.259422879358013, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.926322840619008 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 500327366.085572, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.23420216605454, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.127021670747975 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 661668351.5821095, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.24708389605517, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.7212242344817 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 663350827.2810228, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2542777956495046, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.256443639226276 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 980750799.6592472, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.847980182552874, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.151138387321392 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 865919898.1004695, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.70846881783575, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.381981296322483 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 877399259.7708144, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.325684014829398, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.770252414504533 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1016645774.7049075, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.870370687395585, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.2053947181237534 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1113315432.554312, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.508686334477101, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.737706827187353 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1151753897.332486, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4526122295801986, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.4932824821921 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1085297873.456514, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.7699847189479625, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2020869264938625 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 917723073.2074965, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.440443066134124, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.237076399257968 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1308524309.6849365, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.5837867529653, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.345574604454594 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1057463087.828975, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.186592102091826, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8623192101448685 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1417996664.162593, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.094199644718714, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.607990621590595 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "export_value_usd": 1422880634.6956263, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3444275051181167, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8321440921006413 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8260250625.329595, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.203104738934606, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2453271602366314, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 541752497.4337363, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8458959441737479, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 959904055.1746582, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.147311328571579, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.051040170831395, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "720711", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 270070875.2288816, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.64056708956578, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0750401284638929, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "150710", "hs_description": "Vegetable oils: soya-bean oil and its fractions, crude, whether or not degummed, not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 603823833.6339371, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.6602758636139885, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1540311874606104, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "870840", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, gear boxes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 286949235.80970925, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.515503508479302, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6514228679213934, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "600632", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of synthetic fibres, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 157727767.70874012, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6755965122106857, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "842139", "hs_description": "Machinery: for filtering or purifying gases, other than intake air filters for internal combustion engines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74292429.02690618, "current_below_peak_pct": 41.60227927502309, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.487829500060921, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "870894", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts: steering wheels, steering columns and steering boxes: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 345019787.7418587, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.954940248439004, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2689913840564073, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "hs_code": "480256", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, with no, or not more than 10% weight of all fibre got by mechanical/chemi-mechanical process, weight 40-150g/m2, one side not more than 435mm, other side not more than 297mm, unfolded, sheets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41755795.73745336, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.8423699990284654, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8600193492291356, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "PRT", "importer_iso3": "MAR", "distance_km": 585, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835, "importer_population": 37344.788, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 47.68519003587878, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 48.069846848484836, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.1137358973000002, "tariff_advantage_pp": 46.95611095118484 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MAR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MAR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MAR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MAR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-MAR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }