{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.248Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Portugal exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 173,
    "current_lane_count": 112,
    "current_product_count": 112,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 49633567.99858377,
    "attention_trade_usd": 15474311.979354858,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34386474.38020154,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10374034.981264347,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 16248219.474068562,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 87,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 34,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 19,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1717429367195793,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.53398023891157,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 511.50545862966993,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 15.269382661974825,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 30.623782213703727,
    "top_product_hs6": "730820",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7578739.426495235,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, towers and lattice masts",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "730820",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3123.619384765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.1112862303853035,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.31682831588659,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613029,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.294849438697318,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.2293867303639847,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 31.17710977336225,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9854950.256973747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3856287.383777384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.86953984320189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4876984.262458025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.468382075840722,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4744792.786207056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7105167689088216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.623186141476957
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4350824.265751592,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.303176518070842,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.103992022574454
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 7618180.220395645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 75.09740120656487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.029021407472822
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 12107233.406139644,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.92553150325528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.649869536158896
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 12105153.191142173,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.01718158829262517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.64779111529244
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 13585299.017308027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.22740268375071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.266074653933043
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 15349714.73440009,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.98768407558899,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.231031605474604
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 14647756.255195666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.573104395427441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.561486848233655
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 14752241.233219715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.713317290400628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7849671022835976
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 18230489.073161002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.577758694108276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.900823432901148
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 20715243.63660959,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.629664862401603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.246544542740367
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 15751075.666335724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.96384062556137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2078071726503
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 17605322.031816863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.772188800058657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1564007467719462
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 28381634.00363608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.21053595238954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.066337251889191
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 33877576.32894501,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.36443238118293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.082501056669805
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 51129528.64711617,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.92439952214376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.673266724490276
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 47180967.08929511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.722663717620182,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.461296397504224
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 46210090.81307586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.057771038015732,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.902540921935389
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 44202687.33483265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.34408035760705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.7366986065979555
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 47089035.62806125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.529802750146585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.06499176870643497
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 116783516.84281962,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 148.00575183838785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.211855555835946
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 92021213.92438227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.20359412687086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.68692498904639
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 91807623.81357326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.23210964265754086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.926042870762878
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 133868415.37732308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.814050965047805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.6563355798317385
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 205150450.89067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.24783692436379,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.635588453971273
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 114385705.13406776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.24301548572912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.60464083575938
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 83141121.70325786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.315111966297835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.680968094197056
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "730820",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, towers and lattice masts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73044125.80030969,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.011809235779878,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "480256",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, with no, or not more than 10% weight of all fibre got by mechanical/chemi-mechanical process, weight 40-150g/m2, one side not more than 435mm, other side not more than 297mm, unfolded, sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12440927.666491266,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.56431483906275,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5948852796554579,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "560811",
      "hs_description": "Twine, cordage or rope: fishing nets, made up, of man made textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10091749.354058703,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2982468233114213,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 170235179.03630346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.28972081639556,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.523314400600251,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "721310",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, in irregularly wound coils, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15205747.271222237,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.11278498569081,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4147319565902419,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "470329",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, soda or sulphate, (other than dissolving grades), semi-bleached or bleached, of non-coniferous wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15296507.893507946,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9962032618472579,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "481810",
      "hs_description": "Paper: toilet paper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16273774.171123216,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5578560818277297,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "481820",
      "hs_description": "Paper articles: handkerchiefs, cleansing or facial tissues and towels",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25171850.822505698,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.092381799520576,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46570707191887184,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.96918697248013,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3456901781098793,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "847180",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: automatic, units thereof n.e.s. in heading no. 8471",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29517957.827006795,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2068757979471947,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 3126,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.31682831588659,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.5242361690613029,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.294849438697318,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 1.2293867303639847
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}