{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.163Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Portugal exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Portugal to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PRT",
    "country_name": "Portugal"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 98,
    "current_lane_count": 58,
    "current_product_count": 58,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 19717766.97133088,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1090413.4054102753,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 16231544.800635548,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1419488.6598002028,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7163735.325979209,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 40,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 37,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.370870580743084,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.515811246082986,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 591.7841547718101,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 11.54832302362139,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 30.07221679965635,
    "top_product_hs6": "300490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2277071.422894218,
    "top_product_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "040711",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6914.58984375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0017999999690800905,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 5.530105954673813,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 194894.09094123202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 613209.1565295199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 214.6371208937401,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 408642.11125946004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.36007675224791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 348768.2918239765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.651896558323063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.407665271350474
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 202852.53961239947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.83744785068385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.83963562973183
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 317816.07989915425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.673453783926675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.037468942029324
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 845805.7261347051,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 166.1305640680882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.35212572230428
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 510265.2554583837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.6711041682972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.99987718189055
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 688930.285196095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.01414760783823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.41952554786489
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5735418.999955217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 732.5107958235144,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.27714499905974
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2488538.387466483,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.61104467719073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.58318288885366
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8535526.695186572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 242.9935715750149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 131.39378111171175
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5370079.6193677075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.08555065036526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1700440364257
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5072455.790661611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.542261005454884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.791841274151572
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 4681926.828556972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.6990116468556025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.141314631266848
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6826187.284603022,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.798675087516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.325946296421494
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8163254.089984996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.587314992042913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.187605754064684
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10818019.098406956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.52091603615439,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.20291785745295
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13965523.853808094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.09501940022119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.948140494839713
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 12006200.908554688,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.029713212076478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.72277030216431
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10590370.285782415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.792494841257085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7064281249235749
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 9541375.183775859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.905178701965067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.92528480489835
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11071006.580358235,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.031561144177186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.666912279993827
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 13923648.621467186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.76678119015845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.550400566730932
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10396667.938925667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.33086533872806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.902928213908962
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8663469.354182333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.670712144745416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.848676256485298
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10462932.859667145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.77070318966514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.0854358143295
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 14003334.109532475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.8375606280815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.436446996117233
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 28850866.588216133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.02855264716217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.33295981789711
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 27744389.594285708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8351603427480896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.4120535010126
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1162507712.4228716,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3245826646356784,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "820900",
      "hs_description": "Tools: plates, sticks, tips and the like for tools, unmounted, of sintered metal carbides or cermets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22987494.287521783,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.66066445315711,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4494251792753101,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 393601182.45249987,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.67161101967776,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.639216746307073,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "850153",
      "hs_description": "Electric motors: AC motors, multi-phase, of an output exceeding 75kW",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 93608935.17500302,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.218107703401834,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.987376076102581,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 556720556.72177,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.09789418428176,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5003725126966542,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "591190",
      "hs_description": "Textile products and articles for technical uses: n.e.s. in heading no. 5911",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14815058.396948345,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2695293227995306,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "040711",
      "hs_description": "Birds' eggs, in shell: fresh, fertilised eggs for incubation, of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus (domestic hens)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27384397.277497467,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2641404374525713,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "851680",
      "hs_description": "Resistors: electric heating, other than those of heading no. 8545",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20208546.49335553,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7144349320915329,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "401110",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on motor cars (including station wagons and racing cars)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 240007238.46606928,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9629666811274278,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "640399",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76170996.24291144,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.62498554727148,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9927539567655145,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PRT",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "distance_km": 6924,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "importer_population": 19002.586,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409962,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-KAZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-KAZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-KAZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-KAZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRT-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}