{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.071Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Democratic People's Republic of Korea exports to Ethiopia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Democratic People's Republic of Korea to Ethiopia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "PRK",
    "country_name": "Democratic People's Republic of Korea"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ETH",
    "country_name": "Ethiopia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "all_history_lane_count": 45,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 686226.1874034731,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 626556.5946052654,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 221338.56288729236,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 207507.2618833341,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 686226.1874034731,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 5,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2245637334634774,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.3938204465001,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4490.264409430568,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 62.75713279388412,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 91.30467564579776,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 430655.8796952057,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 9122.3359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 944,
    "buyer_population_latest": 117876.228,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.27232952973971,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 7.4007157215487895,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6737380555600376,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 111271.11233,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 944,
    "buyer_population_2024": 117876.228
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 6301525.834286632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3924779.2376260622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.71700155109545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2636341.204543686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.828293136347185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3110373.45072739,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.980686466786544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.970553842298767
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2281554.5048184115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.64692709858205,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.541250805164577
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 472731.87422433676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.28027258494264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.60969769889975
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 962871.5265873065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 103.68237876220974,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.35247123503348
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1430415.2973583986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.5572330119888,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.412481927923682
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1336924.5115625053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.535919041731885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.415604179593316
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 115099.03830168128,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.39076011351146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.739238977697745
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 4133842.102460096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3491.552252265614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.43954554906355
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3550140.03656785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.120086143224441,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.477601525228145
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 9229793.235733189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.9839200894235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 331.22780822753015
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 7547218.451266678,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.229820988323052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.22058145158583
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 6135213.4745829,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.708945365783013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.003726207004725
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3808298.1783549334,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.92720996372765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.55315039323385
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 11837875.635994043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 210.8442427979113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.188269702654388
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 14011381.162668137,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.36060449955539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.68927994766273
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 9666772.020239899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.007715028151516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.411246399808526
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 4687765.61277049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.50640148587931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.565968420770293
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 4781176.917726124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9926615934286573,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.120258650739927
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 4920073.645894916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.9050740133425013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.158250922763056
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 4071563.6194499657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.245880600850516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.589000502414797
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1812803.3546772278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.47648215497802,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.622214019597436
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 16505180.579724634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 810.4782676587338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.69807840191209
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 3293689.606686267,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.0445103234295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.823337994185607
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1533875.1691237618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.42988100609241,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.416995207121467
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 2306551.9608130227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.37416389826941,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.10633776128985
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 460052.6304910578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.05452995175983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.115024464614976
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "export_value_usd": 1791568.3631646854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 289.42682737241927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.312790997093653
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47049766.837128006,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.899907333404915,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3011611186274428,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "842959",
      "hs_description": "Mechanical shovels, excavators and shovel loaders: n.e.c. in item no. 8429.50",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17006560.724529896,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.25472020405746,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1479589818985438,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10920629.048480876,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.9530086234064,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3475963892181984,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "730300",
      "hs_description": "Cast iron: tubes, pipes and hollow profiles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16070673.300532375,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.06325248737884,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7521867773440151,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
      "importer_iso3": "ETH",
      "hs_code": "870321",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity not exceeding 1000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10624144.453745972,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 51.102124469965496,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7762127904727507,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "PRK",
    "importer_iso3": "ETH",
    "distance_km": 9129,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 111271.11232999999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 943.9656682091999,
    "importer_population": 117876.228,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 32,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 45.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 22000.001024,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 849.845976008463,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRK-ETH/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRK-ETH/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRK-ETH/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRK-ETH/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/PRK-ETH/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}