{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.256Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "WXD",
    "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "WXD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 92,
    "current_lane_count": 67,
    "current_product_count": 67,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2010,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 150206376,
    "attention_trade_usd": 105053644,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 46934333,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 21111722,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 110163643,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 51,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 31,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 21,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1357884717122948,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.20108579907892,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3203.187849754412,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.323071478670116,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 72.27033092123865,
    "top_product_hs6": "890190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 81596717,
    "top_product_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "890190",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 69.93953705400628,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 2454000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 322000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.87856560717196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 3970338,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1133.0242236024844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 6246000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.316581107200435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.53452187777913
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 2216000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.52129362792188,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 90.21202165093112
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 9749000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 339.9368231046932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.91001689276432
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 10705000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.806133962457686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.67264702551241
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 9041000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.544138253152727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.7897452619504
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 9270000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.532905652029638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6653549279695201
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 51343274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 453.8648759439051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.64195534785036
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 57081993,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.177158277830124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.82507293110557
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 52894227.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.336402917816843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.69381311223856
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 96503336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.44587292208898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.410730380224297
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 118166964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.448579394187984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.447792207541475
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 78959947,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.17933851630478,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.287707622927371
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 132092745.00000003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.29082277626152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.031331056917093
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 75446064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.884021374527435,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.891338851574242
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 123897989,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.2206132847434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.203480570733507
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 198424610.00000003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.151598586479096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.52637731026436
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 369469462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.20143035684936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 69.81680025613667
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 120797548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.30513332655352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8411943395507437
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 155745067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.930652632121312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.755689671714139
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 159428384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.364965434186117,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.43354795411572
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 131503847,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.51541118299236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8711148149773713
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 145422263,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.584037134670288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2600304054041565
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 155467100,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.90735846959003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8351822976077394
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 136039966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.495977605551268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1368335341235047
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 155907573,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.604242844341787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3478610306771897
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 164853464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.737945134967881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9733123624277704
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 169191679,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6315582910650948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.540197195670495
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "890190",
      "hs_description": "Vessels: n.e.s. in heading no. 8901, for the transport of goods and other vessels for the transport of both persons and goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96888930.93174614,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.08741124481412,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8213787156807411,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "940690",
      "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65580350.345285006,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.578623030697799,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "890399",
      "hs_description": "Yachts and other vessels: for pleasure or sports, rowing boats and canoes, n.e.s. in heading no. 8903, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 63888074.18655002,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.38863587298381,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.05172206349156,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "640590",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in chapter 64",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10250343.149369389,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.61554336550765,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4697214702082907,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "640299",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58303523.42480334,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.320369982519325,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6052599730192881,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "640419",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29126883.513042703,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.9045165794965,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8276765818227158,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "761090",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: structures (excluding prefabricated buildings of heading no. 9406) and parts of structures, n.e.c. in heading no. 7610, plates, rods, profiles, tubes and the like",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31893219.47739241,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1746601818021465,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27869612.72803013,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4178742674910945,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "020329",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of swine, n.e.s. in item no. 0203.2, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24093196.618643507,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.21794977756288,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.289732968538297,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "854449",
      "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34994423.06281332,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.487116485999685,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6020204898197138,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "WXD",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "shares_ethnic_language": null,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": null,
    "shared_colonial_history": null,
    "has_fta": null,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": null,
    "importer_is_wto": null,
    "exporter_is_eu": null,
    "importer_is_eu": null,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "importer_population": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-WXD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-WXD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-WXD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-WXD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-WXD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}