{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.139Z", "seo": { "title": "Poland exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 1533, "current_lane_count": 1395, "current_product_count": 1395, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 12356486708.852613, "attention_trade_usd": 2979300897.3881197, "critical_trade_usd": 388986896.5800715, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9788855510.563684, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1370116628.2027225, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 21669095.119809456, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2726904726.084243, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 6, "high_attention_lane_count": 261, "high_volatility_lane_count": 967, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 470, "declining_demand_lane_count": 11, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 485, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3534841370955255, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.362712209156754, "product_concentration_hhi": 199.24208214744596, "top1_product_share_pct": 10.601019318689556, "top3_product_share_pct": 20.03635119831165, "top_product_hs6": "841191", "top_product_trade_usd": 1309913543.116773, "top_product_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "top_attention_product_hs6": "850760", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6855.42236328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2838841378688812, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.3609598792929294, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9722649557898989, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.7022105079070706, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.111229733720716, "critical_trade_share_pct": 3.148037996118977, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 643950344.2324082, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 599258578.0767998, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.940250371149537, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 688112875.1322733, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.827371740031436, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 777870645.3003397, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.044047482880284, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.500505140898727 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 778077991.2172982, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.026655578046441697, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.09452537141906 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 947591443.0618745, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.786177447247113, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.255241844647568 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 862085402.5188367, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.02351336845646, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.485849611741476 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1089715311.5456452, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.40456599331349, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.882795060950734 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1255828865.7742465, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.243757013286974, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.842340196805344 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1761412780.4802437, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.25898181551142, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.89279124456643 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 1871361138.7465062, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.242055211855879, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.751653232174093 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2142189474.500097, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.472264607086993, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.48383128527793 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2077561980.124871, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.0168897356900537, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.656839433550398 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2417583429.21425, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.36636848104731, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.911721126058536 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2125873978.0501676, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.066158612730582, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.25452298354936564 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 2782377979.174052, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.881604831817167, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.226845666698559 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 3913868174.5270576, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.66630069035006, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.4198644066224 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4029336911.7423124, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.950245947647634, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.75574115961754 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4604198882.909847, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.266912491042127, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.280363141102953 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4662365708.302213, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2633430238705001, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.0067160111686 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 4834581433.401225, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6937412436855777, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.261293742078378 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 5117694100.606561, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.855991280845174, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.587356299686517 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6359802124.0709095, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.270853221124167, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.903628601993676 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7342148877.341216, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.446184238221328, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.944475316719608 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7571641792.139414, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1256913831649635, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.947616555064823 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7822596629.606398, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3144045156430435, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.144309670604954 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 8955238084.172337, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.479098286612402, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.8442898107133665 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 11070012810.371538, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.61494698769535, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.497428338895645 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 12142516720.266623, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.688370991678097, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.785077642833144 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 12675664002.857319, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.390747773901271, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.27882542678833 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "841191", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20258571505.276894, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0601246335332803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "902140", "hs_description": "Hearing aids (excluding parts and accessories)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2760571881.9281735, "current_below_peak_pct": 20.4377464914868, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4223041763998396, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "850760", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25074859040.07428, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.89098905327291, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2743656321076062, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710691", "hs_description": "Metals: silver, unwrought, (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4987617001.062911, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.678347237542276, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4071121940748397, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "848340", "hs_description": "Gears and gearing: (not toothed wheels, chain sprockets and other transmission elements presented separately): ball or roller screws: gear boxes and other speed changers, including torque converters", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3698375229.9671636, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3530531110276947, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "854460", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2000894522.2830355, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1505674240336405, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13523674535.419735, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.720164335061785, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0153924967882801, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19218124265.414337, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4100150547879515, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "940360", "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, other than for office, kitchen or bedroom use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7059298797.103966, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.675761912722987, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6234604900896049, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "850790", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: parts n.e.c. in heading no. 8507", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3236375382.410772, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.1980276764532807, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 6872, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.3609598792929294, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9722649557898989, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.7022105079070706 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }