{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.162Z", "seo": { "title": "Poland exports to Türkiye: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Türkiye, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TUR", "country_name": "Türkiye" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "all_history_lane_count": 1189, "current_lane_count": 1085, "current_product_count": 1085, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5119893675.265887, "attention_trade_usd": 1274849429.9091668, "critical_trade_usd": 76882005.12235086, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3295986909.5789633, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 627063247.4776939, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1270031321.2792425, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 118, "high_volatility_lane_count": 720, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 433, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 350, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2168449515862392, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.101700101642393, "product_concentration_hhi": 139.3406265565218, "top1_product_share_pct": 4.666619762123785, "top3_product_share_pct": 12.62614057368621, "top_product_hs6": "870421", "top_product_trade_usd": 238925970.04968366, "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "top_attention_product_hs6": "020120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 1386.3939208984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.059282347559928894, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.435765373287477, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939396, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.9251701945925248, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.847391179346872, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 815271.751724, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9587, "buyer_population_latest": 85042.732, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.89992001333819, "critical_trade_share_pct": 1.5016328462789454, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 815271.751724, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9587, "buyer_population_2024": 85042.732 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 68250310.245606, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 65919419.18399889, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.415209474094927, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 81624037.62953568, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.82396362094903, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 68083353.87450443, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.58908839634704, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.08160778270936975 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 85078689.7349181, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.96254208002231, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.876915042111122 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 144592284.80788136, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.9512360361817, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.99730078964821 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 153570026.10465676, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.20900437993912, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.146037203944065 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 244050340.19489545, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.917951885074935, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.08651909707635 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 379442365.61212337, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.477089402582116, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.93259268732348 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 936848029.7744052, "yoy_growth_pct": 146.90127267762122, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.72062127637882 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1277832852.2182822, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.39702615652474, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.64603746383527 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1346720150.6312287, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.3909475165988985, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.5376950890531 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1582263823.756749, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.490172179804198, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.088525198694928 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1930759947.238081, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.02515903156417, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.749660828700906 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 1798712814.1604183, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.839127425786606, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.127257318152072 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 2558985326.8333974, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.26758750411472, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.380592941980222 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3363288116.935957, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.43053544186749, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.3220614434372 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3068334970.9676056, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.76978527302209, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.48507130912851 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3181951135.4209847, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.7028605262596326, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.533034997413401 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3193347856.4229927, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3581676938762879, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7134587711151283 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3053526494.7494435, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.378519596363962, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.16113368167257613 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3268816759.4649363, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.050545167552524, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9018254595486885 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3407548169.1314936, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.244086465381014, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.187692253777329 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3044509321.287593, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.653960848818489, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.09853158394930173 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 2342709748.8080072, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.05131955328613, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.509698838396398 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 2720919267.7914042, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.14410488434743, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.226369789975228 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 3271750308.0957646, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.24429930078282, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.4285318812681256 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 4079146914.0958457, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.677818597654678, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.30498430035623 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 4915986837.776817, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.515071933035767, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.795624092937338 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "export_value_usd": 5227491124.834655, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.336556572204133, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.90624663825886 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1777364248.0582502, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4192433744495756, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "020120", "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, cuts with bone in (excluding carcasses and half-carcasses), fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 334176041.32899714, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.490766251598993, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.024995796824583, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 942252513.0403765, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.848685843684734, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.48581393001990414, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "870840", "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, gear boxes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1963093569.2209692, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4950480986664971, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "720449", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: n.e.s. in heading no. 7204", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6759135504.141641, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.66065043396781, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2218963747910911, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "845121", "hs_description": "Drying machines: of a dry linen capacity not exceeding 10kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 170638076.71455964, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.522497758232831, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "840734", "hs_description": "Engines: reciprocating piston engines, of a kind used for the propulsion of vehicles of chapter 87, of a cylinder capacity exceeding 1000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 673591785.1233025, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.027938683490858, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3041002104.2999363, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.596036939549716, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.635124088958591, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "870120", "hs_description": "Tractors: road, for semi-trailers", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1268983508.1476681, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.19565014772076, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3572464367491945, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "hs_code": "870423", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 382796946.9998163, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1129139105543548, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "distance_km": 1385, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013, "importer_population": 85042.732, "importer_biz_entry_days": 7, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.435765373287477, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.772561373939396, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.9251701945925248, "tariff_advantage_pp": 7.847391179346872 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-TUR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-TUR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-TUR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-TUR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-TUR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }