{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.107Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to Eswatini: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Eswatini, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWZ",
    "country_name": "Eswatini"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 2,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 273356.7579368682,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 273356.7579368682,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 273356.7579368682,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 273356.7579368682,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 273356.7579368682,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.4116943664273106,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 54.779737943642914,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 273356.7579368682,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 8801.8955078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 21.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4941.373182,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4215,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1172.369,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.026430242925347,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.018339043456572224,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0449609222195733,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.651999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 11.422,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4941.373182,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4215,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1172.369
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10078.63171767568,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 186118.0678711066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1746.660073357943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 137186.24582695536,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.290742539858236,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 23723.666283613595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -82.70696443319962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.02300165331873
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 591.0439628439891,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.5086314409496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -85.3013623639701
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 16497.83337567198,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2691.3039321622714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.64034519465819
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 45491.50352207261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 175.74228982791914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.23658207714241
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 14065.480937004075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.08108141517137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 187.63712127802035
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 20064.4164969875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.650056452752814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.741476800283475
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10022.181727811183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.04997165346957,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.60365449889194
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 37656.777504355974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 275.7343313767681,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.85542603559799
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 24036.83501698238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.16863520995152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.206292713970263
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 46690.70645735441,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.24648221933852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.01522280650609
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 115928.84534028421,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 148.2910500533321,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.47313092758185
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 418359.56826667296,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 260.8761624759294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 159.15373626543104
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 464619.52097742143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.057462579954947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 115.09104813024918
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 579471.6562426024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.71961036496404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.98062330204039
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 570406.6109742539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.564363877109698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.886399321525907
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 614048.2278202664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.650966171565354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.74085593433751
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 914103.12924895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.865038255026214,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.409296818871223
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 397609.65088725486,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.50275793126964,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.33393077126249
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1176294.1326359855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 195.84144399189455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.19510609628719
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 732643.3132084729,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.71597656729996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.110676887384737
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21114142.59360021,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.779737943642914,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4116943664273106,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
    "distance_km": 8757,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4941.373182,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4214.86168774507,
    "importer_population": 1172.369,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 21.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 10.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-SWZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-SWZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-SWZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-SWZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-SWZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}