{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.264Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to Mali: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Mali, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MLI",
    "country_name": "Mali"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "MLI",
    "all_history_lane_count": 19,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 29348548.90229426,
    "attention_trade_usd": 11987998.225335719,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 160910.04413923633,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 279748.27383744,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 25066239.452854306,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5586827848456335,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.3491408498304363,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3796.5894151100783,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 43.95416609143206,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 98.79659091288102,
    "top_product_hs6": "190190",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 12899909.92993958,
    "top_product_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100199",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 5108.826171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.004799999762326479,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 19143.741502999997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 918,
    "buyer_population_latest": 20855.724,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.52488252307195,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.405648369829594,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0459590880939302,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 20.709999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.962,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 40.8469879217728,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 19143.741502999997,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 918,
    "buyer_population_2024": 20855.724
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 690776.1484069328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 494570.64104864816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.403630873876228,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 282984.4704597104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.781789501355625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 671785.5273858128,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 137.39307188641558,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9249188754111848
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 340463.6864630518,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.3195860012149,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.702686839661702
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 351294.55499021185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.181211082943336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.473882585766489
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 742760.7363322121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.43531141634338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.40449823610931
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 962926.6525259694,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.641566311238687,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.41890496633531
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 656942.2427286996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.77650229065787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.202236064345037
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 921705.2672763981,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.30232908268603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.4602163067433835
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 821469.6089109448,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.875022843435156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.1582779037049225
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 1925631.4354272485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 134.41298552482488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.1139579681392
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 1397530.5044119498,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.424818752926438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.883169543697639
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 12309178.976112634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 780.7807011906382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 146.53534706988353
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 2506313.8944128477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.63865909110075,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.182767468720222
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 2149683.743755148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.229269185025506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.435066827288345
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 1882446.7959878473,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.431454093823168,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.52330715717563
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 2891769.752960937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.61760869546539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.884042145695022
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 6137858.80003417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.25267999810504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.86680031443777
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 3593457.351330721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.45421932302001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.0499503492575
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 5157656.9387925565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.52909842891513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.27266282446323
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 5759035.509726318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.65991802228219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.101143070093936
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 15071434.33219779,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.70066683464532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.26768942086163
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 13118976.721281206,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.954690097049749,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.505191922687395
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 15052541.261149801,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.73868412870971,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.74844026136368
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 20625911.08951668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.026105636737874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.024677051696585
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 19735370.975358833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.317579525543835,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.581660319423762
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 34280092.68707166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.69874997471828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.566115930177062
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 25458793.659267873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.733008099860356,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.269163335043527
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "export_value_usd": 34934224.01901045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.218693417129735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.96747126522589
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87704825.48377496,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7603182628061184,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "100199",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: wheat and meslin, other than durum wheat, other than seed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98014095.69192061,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.1761063615364511,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "630900",
      "hs_description": "Clothing: worn, and other worn articles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20840366.63331958,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.9306454169437908,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9760303276557609,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25454234.734157868,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 90.07962456862766,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.236667995811717,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "870423",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20825559.440585062,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 25.40100098441311,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9180920355553406,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "220210",
      "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16551155.67583381,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 81.4502347434856,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9084833866177994,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "843143",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: parts of the machinery of item no. 8430.41 or 8430.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16586558.3810447,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.48635493528194,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0576840434493886,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "220299",
      "hs_description": "Non-alcoholic beverages: other than non-alcoholic beer, n.e.c. in item no. 2202.10, not including fruit, nut or vegetable juices of heading no. 2009",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17527904.235428132,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.367007338232284,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8832071220798913,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21090479.06240693,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.321012515428194,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6974134241432371,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "MLI",
      "hs_code": "210390",
      "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14759557.213489875,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 69.89341201424813,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1146483518549626,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "MLI",
    "distance_km": 5098,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 19143.741502999997,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 917.9130632434529,
    "importer_population": 20855.724,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 55.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-MLI/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-MLI/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-MLI/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-MLI/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-MLI/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}