{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.230Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to Luxembourg: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Luxembourg, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LUX",
    "country_name": "Luxembourg"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "all_history_lane_count": 277,
    "current_lane_count": 254,
    "current_product_count": 254,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 573035161.8971661,
    "attention_trade_usd": 331597576.56069535,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 373605089.56120384,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 52273098.73403474,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 453828.5379558203,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 373641056.12037444,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 34,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 164,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 104,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 2,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 136,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1321052288740834,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.797795424097034,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 561.5896823062996,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 14.571374021961647,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 35.53511802700695,
    "top_product_hs6": "871639",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 83499096.71738954,
    "top_product_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "871639",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 1080.5714111328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.2604905076393939,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.0591900595959596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.23228562984848483,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.8269044297474748,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 135683,
    "buyer_population_latest": 639.07,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.9490070751361035,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.101286267407822,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.7749260109831688,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.124,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 54.153999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.86688123340712,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 86710.80333699999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 135683,
    "buyer_population_2024": 639.07
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 21740888.56390818,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 22822748.278560292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.976152246362631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 29894302.512247115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.984674358126483,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 41516233.91244381,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.876743805731586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.064316351005477
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 48130106.43199319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.930810423454567,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.237869423127805
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 74646998.369216,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.09418927774574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.667131127742294
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 74351211.52361538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.39624747419528816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.438585447057168
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 67067223.65375948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.796730571824453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.694340661127288
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 167967573.51199007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.44658830539586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.040145446825008
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 421305085.83635104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.8252497951796,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.28010618161872
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 169376575.89137474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.79716799403503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.180316802561286
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 177205770.27916175,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.622359583422009,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8007092411716386
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 276499297.66535807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.03289736546044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.097465340916115
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 229153179.69475156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.12341346628252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.600607632643943
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 230199584.6142905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.45663993008207004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.112764355078863
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 242791010.8925553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.469786706766766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.241017311744722
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 236357062.946411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.649994298591052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0371061598883236
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 244522586.8314935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4547407990654477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.032410908934179
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 340041818.72928166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.06356183104378,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.883637033847293
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 433234628.83851624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.40627916221927,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.38218217235326
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 432466781.79991066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.17723584115705293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.932934385160596
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 426120516.03951067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4674573926781287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.811901201670501
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 519012251.2609184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.799404563941405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.206594187779402
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 640597929.604266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.426359984366528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.992844811328386
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 642990118.1109523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.37343057105476696,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.698380199078942
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "export_value_usd": 667456329.8141158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.805068073992035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.746448438615516
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "871639",
      "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 116364226.50369605,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2038020275496903,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 171904346.9269001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0328568481871792,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "240319",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: smoking, other than water pipe tobacco, whether or not containing tobacco substitutes in any proportion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 215648832.617414,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2928922720892346,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "720711",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51736213.8927068,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.396639223056818,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9813495861741262,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "847149",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: digital, automatic, (not portable, analogue or hybrid), presented in the form of systems, n.e.s. in item no. 8471.41",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32177665.04522099,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5401682525617275,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "391810",
      "hs_description": "Floor, wall or ceiling coverings: of polymers of vinyl chloride, whether or not self-adhesive, in rolls or in the form of tiles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34255498.775337726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8401372909653648,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "870332",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 375702694.3712825,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.73418621476691,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8934654775863234,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "871690",
      "hs_description": "Trailers, semi-trailers and other vehicles not mechanically propelled: parts thereof for heading no. 8716",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76734616.6504339,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.46225251872696,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7217285546282374,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "890110",
      "hs_description": "Cruise ships, excursion boats and similar vessels, principally designed for the transport of persons, ferry boats of all kinds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17053761.31279175,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "LUX",
      "hs_code": "401120",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 185324180.15585843,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2265162076439546,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "LUX",
    "distance_km": 1084,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 86710.803337,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 135682.79427449263,
    "importer_population": 639.07,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.2604905076393939,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 1.0591900595959596,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.23228562984848483,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.8269044297474748
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-LUX/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-LUX/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-LUX/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-LUX/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-LUX/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}