{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.255Z", "seo": { "title": "Poland exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "POL", "country_name": "Poland" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "all_history_lane_count": 171, "current_lane_count": 80, "current_product_count": 80, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 34519918.23195663, "attention_trade_usd": 13323715.29102372, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11640979.05471848, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9356128.520533293, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 18143088.36751612, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 49, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 36, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 47, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7629323383713759, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.04003515258513, "product_concentration_hhi": 999.0164903043901, "top1_product_share_pct": 26.613153822386366, "top3_product_share_pct": 44.77837791128583, "top_product_hs6": "847529", "top_product_trade_usd": 9186838.938432613, "top_product_description": "Machines: for manufacturing or hot working glass or glassware, not for making optical fibres and preforms thereof", "top_attention_product_hs6": "847529", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3020.91552734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757, "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 38.59718091304562, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757, "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 30174845.313288882, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 34201840.1951712, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.345536124782864, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 68054416.9688387, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.97881687210209, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 21230009.16228907, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.80436258529694, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.059061104258594 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 17258054.51533488, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.709151826507853, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.38758692884466 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 13832294.649953872, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.85020885370946, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.204245034952876 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 50930648.562213674, "yoy_growth_pct": 268.20100967400606, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.86786641850448 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 34824292.68202849, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.62409341893747, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.365975960899448 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 96526725.7251787, "yoy_growth_pct": 177.18215731339902, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.09578785479972 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 51692083.107132405, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.44790578072132, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.49588422956361455 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 110742198.94848897, "yoy_growth_pct": 114.23435135893936, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.054035215138846 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 104456505.79126278, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.675969248316937, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.666629938263898 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 91037797.14357582, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.846216275414946, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.762631733546645 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 110291885.8606821, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.149554713786234, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1357280985036624 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 96126768.69859155, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.843299442702039, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7320827643941614 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 111180399.04374751, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.660185553887796, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.889610860051065 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 75868119.52586898, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.761245526726146, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.724825309297593 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 52383223.14821323, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.954894525424525, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.319956984906906 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 41025540.695112154, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.681908386900172, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.274206472928487 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 38561435.06354063, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.006272165634375, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.19478180158629 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 42411280.512230985, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.983667470742908, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.7970362418200985 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 73203241.12269115, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.6032325328637, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.29009388184173 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 109037843.46124236, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.95220729160226, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.40823074894151 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 61468793.55403569, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.62618371493669, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.168206892360846 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 43345969.351068944, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.48296713686991, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.027038509266866 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 33908455.03858541, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.772530303906557, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.249851775260716 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 53472280.6860469, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.696010110750386, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.539287207038556 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 52297342.887366004, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.197283870458666, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.457672795932257 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 51785700.918764204, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9783326271541881, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.159724898251126 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 50664405.19111122, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1652612743659705, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.781926032347203 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "847529", "hs_description": "Machines: for manufacturing or hot working glass or glassware, not for making optical fibres and preforms thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21130638.70920021, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.0773546337683331, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118168063.04729581, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.99646064578958, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4454000753496612, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "190110", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21463486.674015295, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.795295187566964, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7937475586583325, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42895099.66466435, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.51837605560244, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.23313139727183, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "120910", "hs_description": "Seed: sugar beet seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31112336.021027893, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6921694413633028, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "840991", "hs_description": "Engines: parts, suitable for use solely or principally with spark-ignition internal combustion piston engines (for other than aircraft)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85781190.95888022, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.40645287731737, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.042759156665931, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11890367.819881856, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.66178271059509, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0208083654173903, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "845521", "hs_description": "Metal-rolling mills: hot or combination hot and cold rolling mills", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82057090.55568644, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4025666638753931, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "842290", "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machinery of heading no. 8422", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38816964.405566856, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2284132606843445, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "842240", "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37646105.10977528, "current_below_peak_pct": 30.27530834000538, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.018511690648489, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "POL", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "distance_km": 3018, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 1, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "importer_population": 85028.763, "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-IRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-IRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-IRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-IRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-IRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }