{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.202Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Poland exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Poland to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HKG",
    "country_name": "Hong Kong"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 263,
    "current_lane_count": 185,
    "current_product_count": 185,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 172749063.2137864,
    "attention_trade_usd": 132771753.22284815,
    "critical_trade_usd": 22629170.885171678,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 130675652.07467659,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 62915497.65765804,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 1517099.5550891904,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 119439932.83399862,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 172749063.2137864,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 27,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 149,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 88,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 6,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 99,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 185,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5761016599593223,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.77991319550363,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 461.39111947328325,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.85677340364621,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 29.988347179067524,
    "top_product_hs6": "847180",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 22209955.61431807,
    "top_product_description": "Data processing machines: automatic, units thereof n.e.s. in heading no. 8471",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "847180",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 8283.6142578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.10440000146627426,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661,
    "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 76.858161053259,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 13.099446366992359,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661,
    "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 56595895.25312793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 63853940.21521404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.824331039599501,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 27871863.948019408,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.350596605190276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 17592088.3105589,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.88226828543699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.26016193424793
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 22747290.293533623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.30409336269948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.110705171961293
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 21210065.145033594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.757838532253735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.702546753047102
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 22906961.92524861,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.000431722447354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.198506642883398
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 22313675.727185186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5899820325343548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6394891263554858
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 25323269.05277271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.487662733759631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.086288506272086
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 35181096.21579609,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.927940711288315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.375596104083566
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 48975754.68387139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.21042818978899,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.958095971728895
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 68152777.43530779,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.15615568401183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.0981209930293
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 134212943.50740284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.92952885860142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.25299286007382
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 133035685.50908506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8771568282107234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.528311385472904
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 169777271.88922346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.61784271606531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.56013639035751
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 157165986.51701713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.428135245591038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.403424368050014
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 266398010.71757826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.50105848044548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.04364153004488
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 400681879.44190675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.4072340339994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.13943731312141
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 426990756.3804354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.566026139034098,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.53611813387921
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 445348921.55753666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.299429180322756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.683353495083345
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 369263961.81256783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.08434803858373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6851597104216585
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 314134240.631212,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.929624031206911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.725394086145645
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 354314841.15831417,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.790901254942622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.339142910905405
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 323155030.7413669,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.7943847666896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.348599745661829
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 320165362.68727714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9251497794204311,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6359203834380045
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 312388321.3263385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.429070182877613,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.1110679419359535
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 257758780.9027819,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.487702546500618,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.259909377506036
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 240162473.81929636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.82665669889333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.139120931365795
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 283101452.04740584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.879137212926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.228136871211207
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "export_value_usd": 235378996.19120127,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.857015572005384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.982202183870375
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "847180",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: automatic, units thereof n.e.s. in heading no. 8471",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4208804552.2034035,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.190680294473646,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5634713233.690047,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 12.543205036771077,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.493731627249963,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "050400",
      "hs_description": "Animal products: guts, bladders and stomachs of animals (other than fish), whole and pieces thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 278765313.8252998,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.461746017464506,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6767502957567804,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 440482824.8666034,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.4597295628624,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0464333952621547,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "020329",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of swine, n.e.s. in item no. 0203.2, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 417963395.3657076,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.74513181046717,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0634443697969935,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "890399",
      "hs_description": "Yachts and other vessels: for pleasure or sports, rowing boats and canoes, n.e.s. in heading no. 8903, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21762086.664775968,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 11.922043537443576,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1675316978115837,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "845011",
      "hs_description": "Washing machines: household or laundry-type, fully-automatic, (of a dry linen capacity not exceeding 10kg)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74937774.9622053,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 26.951521089112457,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.532076548620131,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "890392",
      "hs_description": "Motorboats: (other than outboard motorboats), for pleasure or sports, other than inflatable",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 186107662.5965979,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.922313247760713,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "020629",
      "hs_description": "Offal, edible: of bovine animals, (other than tongues and livers), frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 380832035.6445777,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.54093825552573,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8628212003826718,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "POL",
      "importer_iso3": "HKG",
      "hs_code": "400219",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: synthetic, styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) and carboxylated styrene-butadiene rubber (XSBR), (other than latex), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11968478.841019003,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 6.140580037918934,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6104321161083512,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "POL",
    "importer_iso3": "HKG",
    "distance_km": 8290,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296,
    "importer_population": 7413.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-HKG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-HKG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-HKG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-HKG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/POL-HKG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}